Football · Japan J3-League · 08/08, 12:00
Prediction: Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Gainare Tottori1.2
FC Osaka1.58
1X2
Gainare Tottori
Draw
FC Osaka
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gainare Tottori
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
FC Osaka
1-6-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gainare Tottori
1–2–3
FC Osaka
(6 last)
- Gainare Tottori1-2FC Osaka
- FC Osaka1-0Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori2-1FC Osaka
- FC Osaka2-1Gainare Tottori
- FC Osaka1-1Gainare Tottori
- Gainare Tottori2-2FC Osaka
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gainare Tottori 1519 · FC Osaka 1491
| Gainare Tottori | Draw | FC Osaka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Osaka: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gainare Tottori | FC Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.5 | 2.8 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gainare Tottori 1–2–3 FC Osaka
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Osaka |
| 08/03/25 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gainare Tottori |
| 24/08/24 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Osaka |
| 15/06/24 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Gainare Tottori |
| 28/10/23 Japan J3-League | FC Osaka | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Gainare Tottori |
| 01/07/23 Japan J3-League | Gainare Tottori | 2-2 HT 0-0 | FC Osaka |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parceiro Nagano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ehime FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Gifu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fukushima Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gainare Tottori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kochi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matsumoto Y FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nara Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reilac Shiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagamihara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thespa Gunma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tochigi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gainare Tottori | FC Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Reilac Shiga | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gainare Tottori (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gainare Tottori
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 06/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Renofa Yamaguchi Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/04 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
FC Osaka
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Osaka win (45%). Probabilities: Gainare Tottori 28%, draw 27%, FC Osaka 45%.
How many goals are expected in Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Gainare Tottori 1.2 · FC Osaka 1.58), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.