Football · Japan J3-League · 09/08, 12:00

Prediction: Ehime FC vs Nara Club

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.27Total

Ehime FC1.99

Nara Club1.28

1X2

52% 26% 23%

Ehime FC Draw Nara Club

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Ehime FC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLL

Nara Club 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWLWDW

Head-to-head

Ehime FC 3–1–0 Nara Club (4 last)

Ehime FC3-2Nara Club
Nara Club2-2Ehime FC
Nara Club0-3Ehime FC
Ehime FC1-0Nara Club

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ehime FC 1510 · Nara Club 1516

	Ehime FC	Draw	Nara Club
Our model	53%	24%	24%
Market	51%	27%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.27 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ehime FC: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ehime FC	Nara Club
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.6	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.30

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +63’	1.75	3.30	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ehime FC 3–1–0 Nara Club

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Ehime FC	3-2 HT 2-0	Nara Club
21/02/26 Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	Nara Club	2-2 HT 1-1	Ehime FC
28/10/23 Japan J3-League	Nara Club	0-3 HT 0-1	Ehime FC
17/06/23 Japan J3-League	Ehime FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Nara Club

Standings · Japan J3-League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Parceiro Nagano	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
1	Kagoshima United	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
3	FC Osaka	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
3	Gainare Tottori	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Kochi United	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
5	Matsumoto Y FC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
5	Roasso Kumamoto	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
5	Sagamihara	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Ehime FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Gifu	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Ryukyu	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Fukushima Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Giravanz Kitakyushu	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Kamatamare Sanuki	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Nara Club	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Reilac Shiga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Tochigi SC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Zweigen Kanazawa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Renofa Yamaguchi	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
19	Thespa Gunma	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ehime FC	Nara Club
Albirex Niigata	1-2 L	1-2 L
Kochi United	1-0 W	0-0 D
Kataller Toyama	0-2 L	5-1 W
Zweigen Kanazawa	2-0 W	0-1 L
Tokushima Vortis	6-0 W	2-1 W
FC Imabari	0-2 L	2-1 W
Kamatamare Sanuki	3-0 W	1-1 D
FC Osaka	1-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ehime FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ehime FC

WWLWWLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
30/05	Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
23/05	Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
17/05	Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
10/05	Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
06/05	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
02/05	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	6-0	2	4	W
29/04	FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
26/04	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	3-0	7	5	W
17/04	FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	1-0	2	3	W

Nara Club

DLDWLWLWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/06	Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-0	2-0	0	6	W
30/05	Oita Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-3	3-3	6	0	D
23/05	Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	3-0	5-1	0	2	W
16/05	Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
10/05	Tokushima Vortis Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	1-0	2-1	5	1	W
06/05	FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-2	1-3	5	4	L
03/05	FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	2-1	2-1	0	2	W
29/04	Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/04	Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
18/04	Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League	0-1	1-1	7	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ehime FC vs Nara Club?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ehime FC win (52%). Probabilities: Ehime FC 52%, draw 26%, Nara Club 23%.

How many goals are expected in Ehime FC vs Nara Club?

The model expects 3.27 goals (Ehime FC 1.99 · Nara Club 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Ehime FC vs Nara Club?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.