Football · Japan J3-League · 09/08, 11:00
Prediction: Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Fukushima Utd1.79
Kamatamare Sanuki1.67
1X2
Fukushima Utd
Draw
Kamatamare Sanuki
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fukushima Utd
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Kamatamare Sanuki
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fukushima Utd
2–2–2
Kamatamare Sanuki
(6 last)
- Fukushima Utd4-2Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-2Fukushima Utd
- Kamatamare Sanuki4-1Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd0-1Kamatamare Sanuki
- Kamatamare Sanuki1-1Fukushima Utd
- Fukushima Utd0-0Kamatamare Sanuki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fukushima Utd 1500 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1469
| Fukushima Utd | Draw | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 24% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +1
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fukushima Utd | Kamatamare Sanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fukushima Utd 2–2–2 Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 03/05/25 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Fukushima Utd |
| 02/10/24 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 02/06/24 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
| 29/07/23 Japan J3-League | Kamatamare Sanuki | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Fukushima Utd |
| 03/05/23 Japan J3-League | Fukushima Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kamatamare Sanuki |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parceiro Nagano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 3 | Gainare Tottori | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Kochi United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Matsumoto Y FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Roasso Kumamoto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Ehime FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Gifu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Tochigi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Thespa Gunma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fukushima Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/06 | Vanraure Hachinohe Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Jubilo Iwata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Kamatamare Sanuki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Parceiro Nagano Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | FC Osaka Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Imabari Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 06/05 | Kataller Toyama Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Albirex Niigata Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Zweigen Kanazawa Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Ehime FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Nara Club Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fukushima Utd win (39%). Probabilities: Fukushima Utd 39%, draw 26%, Kamatamare Sanuki 35%.
How many goals are expected in Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Fukushima Utd 1.79 · Kamatamare Sanuki 1.67), with a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fukushima Utd vs Kamatamare Sanuki?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.