Football · Japan J3-League · 08/08, 11:00
Prediction: Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Parceiro Nagano1.11
Renofa Yamaguchi1.48
1X2
Parceiro Nagano
Draw
Renofa Yamaguchi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Parceiro Nagano
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Renofa Yamaguchi
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Parceiro Nagano
2–1
Renofa Yamaguchi
(3 last)
- Renofa Yamaguchi1-2Parceiro Nagano
- Renofa Yamaguchi3-2Parceiro Nagano
- Parceiro Nagano2-1Renofa Yamaguchi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Parceiro Nagano 1467 · Renofa Yamaguchi 1502
| Parceiro Nagano | Draw | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Parceiro Nagano: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parceiro Nagano | Renofa Yamaguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parceiro Nagano 2–0–1 Renofa Yamaguchi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/15 Japan J3-League | Renofa Yamaguchi | 1-2 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 12/07/15 Japan J3-League | Renofa Yamaguchi | 3-2 | Parceiro Nagano |
| 26/04/15 Japan J3-League | Parceiro Nagano | 2-1 | Renofa Yamaguchi |
Standings · Japan J3-League
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parceiro Nagano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ehime FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Gifu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Osaka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Ryukyu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fukushima Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gainare Tottori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kochi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Matsumoto Y FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nara Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Reilac Shiga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roasso Kumamoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sagamihara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thespa Gunma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Tochigi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zweigen Kanazawa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parceiro Nagano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Iwaki FC World Club Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Kamatamare Sanuki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tochigi SC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Ventforet Kofu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Omiya Ardija Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Gifu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Fujieda MYFC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | Fukushima Utd Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Matsumoto Y FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Renofa Yamaguchi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Yokohama FC Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Kochi United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Roasso Kumamoto Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Sagan Tosu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Reilac Shiga Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Gainare Tottori Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | FC Ryukyu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Giravanz Kitakyushu Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Kagoshima United Japan J2/J3 Centennial League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Renofa Yamaguchi win (45%). Probabilities: Parceiro Nagano 27%, draw 28%, Renofa Yamaguchi 45%.
How many goals are expected in Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Parceiro Nagano 1.11 · Renofa Yamaguchi 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Parceiro Nagano vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.