Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 04:00

Prediction: Bigfoot FC vs Ballard FC

Expected goals: 4.4 (Bigfoot FC 1.2 · Ballard FC 3.2). The model gives 8% home, 12% draw, 80% away. Under 4.5 goals (54%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-3.

Recent form leaves Bigfoot FC with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Ballard FC has piled up 8-1-1 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Bigfoot FC and 3 for Ballard FC.

80%2
8% 12% 80%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bigfoot FC 1433 · Ballard FC 1599
Bigfoot FCDrawBallard FC
Our model10%14%76%
Market7%10%83%
Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.4Bigfoot FC 1.2 · Ballard FC 3.2
Over / Under 4.5Under 4.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballard FC (rating 1433 vs 1599).
  • H2H favours Ballard FC: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bigfoot FCBallard FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 3.32.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.71.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.63.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bigfoot FC 003 Ballard FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/06/26
USA USL League Two
Ballard FC6-1
HT 5-1
Bigfoot FC
26/05/25
USA USL League Two
Bigfoot FC1-2
HT 0-0
Ballard FC
24/05/25
USA USL League Two
Ballard FC3-1
HT 3-1
Bigfoot FC

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Northwest Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ballard FC 121011 341031
2 Snohomish United 11911 301128
3 Portland Bangers 12804 201624
4 Midlakes United 12417 192213
5 West Seattle Junction FC 12336 222312
6 Tacoma Stars 13346 232913
7 Bigfoot FC 12237 17359
8 FC Olympia 143110 183710

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBigfoot FCBallard FC
West Seattle Junction FC 3-3 D 3-1 W
Portland Bangers 0-2 L 2-0 W
Snohomish United 0-3 L 0-2 L
Tacoma Stars 3-1 W 7-0 W
FC Olympia 1-1 D 2-1 W
Midlakes United 1-6 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ballard FC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bigfoot FC

LLLLDLWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 West Seattle Junction FC
USA USL League Two
3-1 3-3 47 D
29/06 Portland Bangers
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-2 23 L
27/06 Snohomish United
USA USL League Two
0-1 0-3 43 L
21/06 Tacoma Stars
USA USL League Two
1-1 3-1 85 W
19/06 Ballard FC
USA USL League Two
1-5 1-6 22 L
15/06 FC Olympia
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-1 46 D
08/06 Tacoma Stars
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-3 23 L
06/06 FC Olympia
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-3 L
31/05 Snohomish United
USA USL League Two
3-1 3-5 34 L
27/05 Midlakes United
USA USL League Two
0-5 1-6 34 L

Ballard FC

WDWLWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Tacoma Stars
USA USL League Two
3-0 7-0 95 W
28/06 Midlakes United
USA USL League Two
1-2 3-2 81 W
25/06 West Seattle Junction FC
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-1 04 W
22/06 West Seattle Junction FC
USA USL League Two
0-1 2-1 105 W
19/06 Bigfoot FC
USA USL League Two
5-1 6-1 82 W
15/06 Portland Bangers
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 W
11/06 Snohomish United
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-2 76 L
07/06 Portland Bangers
USA USL League Two
1-0 3-1 12 W
04/06 Tacoma Stars
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-1 70 D
01/06 FC Olympia
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bigfoot FC vs Ballard FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ballard FC win (80%). Probabilities: Bigfoot FC 8%, draw 12%, Ballard FC 80%.

How many goals are expected in Bigfoot FC vs Ballard FC?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Bigfoot FC 1.2 · Ballard FC 3.2), with a 54% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bigfoot FC vs Ballard FC?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.