Prediction: The Town vs Sporting Kansas City II
Expected goals: 3.79 (The Town 2.51 · Sporting Kansas City II 1.28). The model gives 63% home, 20% draw, 17% away. Over 3.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Over its last 10 matches, The Town sits at 5-2-3 (W-D-L), while Sporting Kansas City II arrives on a 3-2-5 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for The Town and 2 for Sporting Kansas City II, with 1 draw.
| The Town | Draw | Sporting Kansas City II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 19% | 17% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours The Town (rating 1536 vs 1465).
- H2H favours The Town: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| The Town | Sporting Kansas City II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.1 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · The Town 3–1–2 Sporting Kansas City II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 18/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | The Town |
| 15/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 17/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | The Town |
| 06/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 29/08/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 1-4 HT 0-2 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 13 | 40 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 29 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 29 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | Minnesota United FC II | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 26 |
| 8 | The Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 17 | 25 |
| 9 | Real Monarchs SLC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 20 | 22 |
| 11 | Tacoma Defiance | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 24 | 21 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 36 | 14 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 13 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 9 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | The Town | Sporting Kansas City II |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| North Texas SC | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| Ventura County FC | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: The Town (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
The Town
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/04 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Sporting Kansas City II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 11/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 04/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in The Town vs Sporting Kansas City II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a The Town win (63%). Probabilities: The Town 63%, draw 20%, Sporting Kansas City II 17%.
How many goals are expected in The Town vs Sporting Kansas City II?
The model expects 3.79 goals (The Town 2.51 · Sporting Kansas City II 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in The Town vs Sporting Kansas City II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.