Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 24/10, 18:00

Prediction: Loznica vs OFK Vrsac

Team pages: Loznica · OFK Vrsac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Loznica1.32

OFK Vrsac0.96

1X2

44% 29% 27%

Loznica Draw OFK Vrsac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Loznica 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWWLWD

OFK Vrsac 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLDLW

Head-to-head

Loznica 2–1–3 OFK Vrsac (6 last)

OFK Vrsac0-0Loznica
Loznica2-0OFK Vrsac
OFK Vrsac1-0Loznica
Loznica2-1OFK Vrsac
OFK Vrsac1-0Loznica
Loznica0-1OFK Vrsac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Loznica 1531 · OFK Vrsac 1504

	Loznica	Draw	OFK Vrsac
Our model	44%	31%	26%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OFK Vrsac: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Loznica	OFK Vrsac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.2	2.7 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:05 +27’	2.00	3.20	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Loznica 2–1–3 OFK Vrsac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	0-0 HT 0-0	Loznica
06/12/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	2-0 HT 1-0	OFK Vrsac
31/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	1-0 HT 1-0	Loznica
26/04/23 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	2-1 HT 2-1	OFK Vrsac
18/03/23 Serbia Prva Liga	OFK Vrsac	1-0 HT 0-0	Loznica
17/09/22 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	0-1 HT 0-0	OFK Vrsac

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	14	8	6	0	33	15	30
2	Borac Cacak	14	9	2	3	27	20	29
3	Javor Ivanjica	14	7	6	1	33	15	27
4	Smederevo	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
5	OFK Vrsac	14	8	1	5	17	13	25
6	FK Napredak	14	6	3	5	14	15	21
7	FK Vozdovac	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
8	Loznica	14	4	7	3	18	20	19
9	FK Dubocica	14	5	4	5	15	17	19
10	Metalac Gornji	14	5	3	6	17	20	18
11	Spartak Subotica	14	4	4	6	22	28	16
12	FK Proleter 023	14	3	6	5	20	16	15
13	Teleoptik	14	3	4	7	17	24	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	14	3	2	9	18	27	11
15	Jedinstvo UB	14	3	2	9	15	25	11
16	Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8	28	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Loznica	OFK Vrsac
FK Vozdovac	1-1 D	0-2 L
Smederevo	1-0 W	0-1 L
FK Napredak	0-3 L	2-1 W
Spartak Subotica	2-0 W	0-2 L
Jedinstvo UB	3-2 W	3-1 W
Teleoptik	1-1 D	1-0 W
Metalac Gornji	4-2 W	0-0 D
Bor 1919	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Loznica

DWDLDWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
12/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
05/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
28/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
17/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
12/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	1	6	L
06/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	11	6	D
29/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	4-2	3	0	W
23/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	10	4	D

OFK Vrsac

WLLWWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
04/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
26/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
21/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
16/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
12/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	4-1	4-1	1	4	W
05/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
30/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	10	6	L
23/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Loznica vs OFK Vrsac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Loznica win (44%). Probabilities: Loznica 44%, draw 29%, OFK Vrsac 27%.

How many goals are expected in Loznica vs OFK Vrsac?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Loznica 1.32 · OFK Vrsac 0.96), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Loznica vs OFK Vrsac?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.