Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 02/11, 13:00

Prediction: Bor 1919 vs Spartak Subotica

Team pages: Bor 1919 · Spartak Subotica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Bor 19191.06

Spartak Subotica1.5

1X2

26% 28% 47%

Bor 1919 Draw Spartak Subotica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Bor 1919 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLLLL

Spartak Subotica 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLDW

Head-to-head

Bor 1919 0–1 Spartak Subotica (1 last)

Spartak Subotica3-0Bor 1919

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bor 1919 1405 · Spartak Subotica 1479

	Bor 1919	Draw	Spartak Subotica
Our model	25%	28%	46%
Market	26%	27%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Subotica (rating 1405 vs 1479).
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bor 1919	Spartak Subotica
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.30

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:33 +11’	3.40	3.30	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bor 1919 0–0–1 Spartak Subotica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Spartak Subotica	3-0 HT 1-0	Bor 1919

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Javor Ivanjica	15	8	6	1	35	16	30
3	Borac Cacak	15	9	3	3	27	20	30
4	OFK Vrsac	15	8	2	5	18	14	26
5	Smederevo	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	FK Dubocica	15	6	4	5	16	17	22
7	FK Napredak	15	6	4	5	14	15	22
8	Loznica	15	4	8	3	19	21	20
9	FK Vozdovac	15	5	4	6	15	14	19
10	Spartak Subotica	15	5	4	6	24	28	19
11	FK Proleter 023	15	4	6	5	22	17	18
12	Metalac Gornji	15	5	3	7	18	22	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	15	4	2	9	17	25	14
14	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
15	FK Graficar Beograd	15	3	2	10	18	29	11
16	Bor 1919	15	2	2	11	8	30	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bor 1919	Spartak Subotica
Jedinstvo UB	0-2 L	1-1 D
OFK Vrsac	0-1 L	2-0 W
FK Graficar Beograd	0-3 L	2-0 W
Borac Cacak	0-1 L	3-3 D
FK Dubocica	2-1 W	1-2 L
FK Proleter 023	2-1 W	0-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Spartak Subotica (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bor 1919

WWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	8	L
17/10	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
11/10	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-4	3	3	L
03/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
28/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
21/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
13/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
06/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	8	W
30/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W

Spartak Subotica

DWWLLLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/10	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	3-3	4	6	D
11/10	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	1	8	L
04/10	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-3	0-6	1	5	L
28/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
21/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	5	6	L
16/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
11/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
05/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
29/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	8	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bor 1919 vs Spartak Subotica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Subotica win (47%). Probabilities: Bor 1919 26%, draw 28%, Spartak Subotica 47%.

How many goals are expected in Bor 1919 vs Spartak Subotica?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Bor 1919 1.06 · Spartak Subotica 1.5), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bor 1919 vs Spartak Subotica?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.