Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 02/11, 16:00

Prediction: FK Dubocica vs FK Vozdovac

Team pages: FK Dubocica · FK Vozdovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

FK Dubocica1.14

FK Vozdovac1.22

1X2

33% 29% 37%

FK Dubocica Draw FK Vozdovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Dubocica 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDDWLW

FK Vozdovac 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDLWDL

Head-to-head

FK Dubocica 1–1–3 FK Vozdovac (5 last)

FK Vozdovac0-1FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica2-3FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac1-1FK Dubocica
FK Vozdovac1-0FK Dubocica
FK Dubocica0-3FK Vozdovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Dubocica 1511 · FK Vozdovac 1495

	FK Dubocica	Draw	FK Vozdovac
Our model	33%	30%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Vozdovac: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Dubocica	FK Vozdovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	1.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:41 +4’	2.63	3.20	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dubocica 1–1–3 FK Vozdovac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Dubocica
18/11/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	2-3 HT 2-2	FK Vozdovac
16/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	1-1 HT 0-1	FK Dubocica
15/02/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Dubocica
07/09/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Dubocica	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Vozdovac

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Javor Ivanjica	15	8	6	1	35	16	30
3	Borac Cacak	15	9	3	3	27	20	30
4	OFK Vrsac	15	8	2	5	18	14	26
5	Smederevo	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	FK Dubocica	15	6	4	5	16	17	22
7	FK Napredak	15	6	4	5	14	15	22
8	Loznica	15	4	8	3	19	21	20
9	FK Vozdovac	15	5	4	6	15	14	19
10	Spartak Subotica	15	5	4	6	24	28	19
11	FK Proleter 023	15	4	6	5	22	17	18
12	Metalac Gornji	15	5	3	7	18	22	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	15	4	2	9	17	25	14
14	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
15	FK Graficar Beograd	15	3	2	10	18	29	11
16	Bor 1919	15	2	2	11	8	30	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Dubocica	FK Vozdovac
Smederevo	1-0 W	0-1 L
FK Napredak	0-1 L	0-0 D
Spartak Subotica	2-1 W	2-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	0-0 D	1-0 W
Javor Ivanjica	1-1 D	1-1 D
FK Backa Topola	0-0 D	2-3 L
Teleoptik	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Dubocica

WLLWDDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
11/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
04/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
21/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-3	0-5	3	5	L
06/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	6	8	L
31/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-1	5	6	W

FK Vozdovac

WLDWWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	1-2	3	3	L
18/10	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
05/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
29/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
21/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
12/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
07/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
01/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Dubocica vs FK Vozdovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Vozdovac win (37%). Probabilities: FK Dubocica 33%, draw 29%, FK Vozdovac 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Dubocica vs FK Vozdovac?

The model expects 2.37 goals (FK Dubocica 1.14 · FK Vozdovac 1.22), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Dubocica vs FK Vozdovac?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.