Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/11, 16:00

Prediction: Borac Cacak vs Smederevo

Team pages: Borac Cacak · Smederevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Borac Cacak1.6

Smederevo1.14

1X2

47% 27% 26%

Borac Cacak Draw Smederevo

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Borac Cacak 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDLWDD

Smederevo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWWLDL

Head-to-head

Borac Cacak 2–2–2 Smederevo (6 last)

Smederevo3-2Borac Cacak
Smederevo1-1Borac Cacak
Smederevo0-2Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak0-0Smederevo
Borac Cacak4-0Smederevo
Smederevo3-2Borac Cacak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1517 · Smederevo 1486

	Borac Cacak	Draw	Smederevo
Our model	47%	27%	26%
Market	47%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borac Cacak	Smederevo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.2	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.3	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:02 +4’	1.90	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 2–2–2 Smederevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	3-2 HT 2-0	Borac Cacak
11/05/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	1-1 HT 0-1	Borac Cacak
15/03/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	0-2 HT 0-0	Borac Cacak
05/10/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	0-0 HT 0-0	Smederevo
08/12/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	4-0 HT 2-0	Smederevo
25/08/24 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	3-2 HT 1-2	Borac Cacak

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Javor Ivanjica	15	8	6	1	35	16	30
3	Borac Cacak	15	9	3	3	27	20	30
4	OFK Vrsac	15	8	2	5	18	14	26
5	Smederevo	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	FK Dubocica	15	6	4	5	16	17	22
7	FK Napredak	15	6	4	5	14	15	22
8	Loznica	15	4	8	3	19	21	20
9	FK Vozdovac	15	5	4	6	15	14	19
10	Spartak Subotica	15	5	4	6	24	28	19
11	FK Proleter 023	15	4	6	5	22	17	18
12	Metalac Gornji	15	5	3	7	18	22	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	15	4	2	9	17	25	14
14	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
15	FK Graficar Beograd	15	3	2	10	18	29	11
16	Bor 1919	15	2	2	11	8	30	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borac Cacak	Smederevo
FK Napredak	0-0 D	4-1 W
Spartak Subotica	3-3 D	2-1 W
Jedinstvo UB	3-1 W	1-2 L
Javor Ivanjica	1-3 L	1-3 L
FK Backa Topola	2-2 D	1-1 D
OFK Vrsac	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Smederevo (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borac Cacak

WWWLWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
19/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-3	9	6	D
10/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/10	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-3	4	6	L
26/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	2	1	D
20/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
16/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
13/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
05/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
30/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	7	6	W

Smederevo

DLLWWWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	7	6	L
17/10	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
12/10	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
05/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	8	W
26/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
21/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-1	3	7	W
16/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
12/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
30/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	2	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs Smederevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Cacak win (47%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 47%, draw 27%, Smederevo 26%.

How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs Smederevo?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Borac Cacak 1.6 · Smederevo 1.14), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs Smederevo?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.