Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Proleter 023 vs FK Vozdovac

Team pages: FK Proleter 023 · FK Vozdovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.25Total

FK Proleter 0231.12

FK Vozdovac1.13

1X2

35% 29% 36%

FK Proleter 023 Draw FK Vozdovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Proleter 023 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDDLWWDD

FK Vozdovac 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWDLWD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Proleter 023 1521 · FK Vozdovac 1535

	FK Proleter 023	Draw	FK Vozdovac
Our model	34%	31%	35%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Proleter 023	FK Vozdovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	1.4 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +6’	2.50	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Borac Cacak	14	9	2	3	27	20	29
3	Javor Ivanjica	14	7	6	1	33	15	27
4	Smederevo	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
5	OFK Vrsac	14	8	1	5	17	13	25
6	FK Napredak	14	6	3	5	14	15	21
7	FK Vozdovac	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
8	Loznica	14	4	7	3	18	20	19
9	FK Dubocica	14	5	4	5	15	17	19
10	Metalac Gornji	14	5	3	6	17	20	18
11	Spartak Subotica	14	4	4	6	22	28	16
12	FK Proleter 023	14	3	6	5	20	16	15
13	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	14	3	2	9	18	27	11
15	Jedinstvo UB	14	3	2	9	15	25	11
16	Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8	28	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Proleter 023	FK Vozdovac
Smederevo	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Napredak	0-0 D	0-0 D
Spartak Subotica	6-0 W	2-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	3-0 W	1-0 W
Javor Ivanjica	2-4 L	1-1 D
FK Backa Topola	1-1 D	2-3 L
Teleoptik	1-1 D	2-1 W
Metalac Gornji	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Proleter 023 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Proleter 023

WLDDDLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
04/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
21/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
16/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
30/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
24/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W

FK Vozdovac

WWLDWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
11/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
05/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	1	8	L
29/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
21/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
12/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
07/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
01/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
23/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Proleter 023 vs FK Vozdovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Vozdovac win (36%). Probabilities: FK Proleter 023 35%, draw 29%, FK Vozdovac 36%.

How many goals are expected in FK Proleter 023 vs FK Vozdovac?

The model expects 2.25 goals (FK Proleter 023 1.12 · FK Vozdovac 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Proleter 023 vs FK Vozdovac?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.