Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 24/10, 16:00
Prediction: Borac Cacak vs FK Napredak
Team pages: Borac Cacak · FK Napredak
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Borac Cacak1.5
FK Napredak1
1X2
Borac Cacak
Draw
FK Napredak
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Borac Cacak
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FK Napredak
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Borac Cacak
0–2–4
FK Napredak
(6 last)
- Borac Cacak2-2FK Napredak
- Borac Cacak0-4FK Napredak
- Borac Cacak3-3FK Napredak
- FK Napredak3-1Borac Cacak
- Borac Cacak0-1FK Napredak
- FK Napredak3-1Borac Cacak
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1545 · FK Napredak 1477
| Borac Cacak | Draw | FK Napredak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Cacak (rating 1545 vs 1477).
- H2H favours FK Napredak: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Borac Cacak | FK Napredak | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 0–2–4 FK Napredak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Borac Cacak | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FK Napredak |
| 24/10/18 Serbia Cup | Borac Cacak | 0-4 HT 0-0 | FK Napredak |
| 04/12/17 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 3-3 HT 0-2 | FK Napredak |
| 13/08/17 Serbia Super Liga | FK Napredak | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Borac Cacak |
| 09/04/17 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Napredak |
| 30/10/16 Serbia Super Liga | FK Napredak | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Borac Cacak |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Backa Topola | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 35 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | Borac Cacak | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Javor Ivanjica | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Smederevo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | OFK Vrsac | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | FK Dubocica | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Napredak | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 21 |
| 8 | FK Vozdovac | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
| 9 | Loznica | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 19 |
| 10 | Metalac Gornji | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 18 |
| 11 | Spartak Subotica | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 16 |
| 12 | FK Proleter 023 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 15 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 13 |
| 14 | FK Graficar Beograd | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo UB | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Bor 1919 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Borac Cacak | FK Napredak |
|---|---|---|
| Spartak Subotica | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Jedinstvo UB | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Javor Ivanjica | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| FK Backa Topola | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| OFK Vrsac | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| FK Dubocica | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Cacak (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Borac Cacak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 16/09 | Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
FK Napredak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 11/10 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 05/10 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 29/09 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/09 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/09 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs FK Napredak?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Borac Cacak win (47%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 47%, draw 29%, FK Napredak 24%.
How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs FK Napredak?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Borac Cacak 1.5 · FK Napredak 1), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs FK Napredak?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.