Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Metalac Gornji vs Javor Ivanjica

Team pages: Metalac Gornji · Javor Ivanjica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Metalac Gornji1.01

Javor Ivanjica1.92

1X2

19% 24% 58%

Metalac Gornji Draw Javor Ivanjica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Metalac Gornji 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWWDLL

Javor Ivanjica 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWWDDWDWDW

Head-to-head

Metalac Gornji 2–2–2 Javor Ivanjica (6 last)

Javor Ivanjica1-1Metalac Gornji
Javor Ivanjica0-0Metalac Gornji
Metalac Gornji1-2Javor Ivanjica
Metalac Gornji3-1Javor Ivanjica
Metalac Gornji3-4Javor Ivanjica
Javor Ivanjica1-3Metalac Gornji

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metalac Gornji 1500 · Javor Ivanjica 1562

	Metalac Gornji	Draw	Javor Ivanjica
Our model	18%	24%	58%
Market	19%	23%	58%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Javor Ivanjica (rating 1500 vs 1562).
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metalac Gornji	Javor Ivanjica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	1.6 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.80

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:13 +6’	4.75	3.80	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Metalac Gornji 2–2–2 Javor Ivanjica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/07/26 Club Friendly List	Javor Ivanjica	1-1 HT 1-0	Metalac Gornji
03/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Javor Ivanjica	0-0 HT 0-0	Metalac Gornji
08/04/21 Serbia Super Liga	Metalac Gornji	1-2 HT 0-2	Javor Ivanjica
30/01/21 Europe Friendlies	Metalac Gornji	3-1 HT 2-0	Javor Ivanjica
14/11/20 Europe Friendlies	Metalac Gornji	3-4 HT 2-3	Javor Ivanjica
17/10/20 Serbia Super Liga	Javor Ivanjica	1-3 HT 1-2	Metalac Gornji

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Borac Cacak	14	9	2	3	27	20	29
3	Javor Ivanjica	14	7	6	1	33	15	27
4	Smederevo	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
5	OFK Vrsac	14	8	1	5	17	13	25
6	FK Napredak	14	6	3	5	14	15	21
7	FK Vozdovac	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
8	Loznica	14	4	7	3	18	20	19
9	FK Dubocica	14	5	4	5	15	17	19
10	Metalac Gornji	14	5	3	6	17	20	18
11	Spartak Subotica	14	4	4	6	22	28	16
12	FK Proleter 023	14	3	6	5	20	16	15
13	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	14	3	2	9	18	27	11
15	Jedinstvo UB	14	3	2	9	15	25	11
16	Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8	28	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Metalac Gornji	Javor Ivanjica
Bor 1919	2-0 W	3-0 W
FK Graficar Beograd	1-0 W	1-1 D
Borac Cacak	2-1 W	3-1 W
FK Dubocica	5-0 W	1-1 D
FK Proleter 023	0-0 D	4-2 W
Loznica	2-4 L	2-2 D
FK Vozdovac	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Javor Ivanjica (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Metalac Gornji

LLDWWWWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	1-5	7	4	L
10/10	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	12	3	L
04/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
28/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
21/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
16/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
11/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	5-0	3	5	W
05/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
29/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-4	6	0	L
23/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	9	5	L

Javor Ivanjica

DWWDDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
11/10	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	2	6	W
28/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
21/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-2	1	3	W
17/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
12/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
05/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	3-0	2	4	W
24/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-2	3	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metalac Gornji vs Javor Ivanjica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Javor Ivanjica win (58%). Probabilities: Metalac Gornji 19%, draw 24%, Javor Ivanjica 58%.

How many goals are expected in Metalac Gornji vs Javor Ivanjica?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Metalac Gornji 1.01 · Javor Ivanjica 1.92), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Metalac Gornji vs Javor Ivanjica?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.