Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 23/10, 14:00

Prediction: Teleoptik vs FK Backa Topola

Team pages: Teleoptik · FK Backa Topola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Teleoptik1.06

FK Backa Topola2.01

1X2

19% 22% 59%

Teleoptik Draw FK Backa Topola

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Teleoptik 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLLWWL

FK Backa Topola 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWDDDWWW

Head-to-head

Teleoptik 2–3 FK Backa Topola (5 last)

Teleoptik0-4FK Backa Topola
FK Backa Topola3-0Teleoptik
Teleoptik1-0FK Backa Topola
FK Backa Topola3-0Teleoptik
Teleoptik2-0FK Backa Topola

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teleoptik 1474 · FK Backa Topola 1581

	Teleoptik	Draw	FK Backa Topola
Our model	19%	23%	58%
Market	20%	21%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Backa Topola (rating 1474 vs 1581).
H2H favours FK Backa Topola: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Teleoptik	FK Backa Topola
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	1.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X4.33

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.82

2 (-1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.10 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
X	3.90 → 4.33▲	Bet365 4.33
2	1.65 → 1.50▼	Bet365 1.50

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +5’	4.10	3.90	1.65
20:20 +2’	4.75▲	4.33▲	1.48▼
23:49 +13’	4.10▼	4.20▼	1.57▲
06:54 +7’	4.50▲	4.33▲	1.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Teleoptik 2–0–3 FK Backa Topola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/19 Serbia Prva Liga	Teleoptik	0-4 HT 0-0	FK Backa Topola
30/09/18 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Backa Topola	3-0 HT 0-0	Teleoptik
01/08/18 Europe Friendlies	Teleoptik	1-0 HT 1-0	FK Backa Topola
27/04/18 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Backa Topola	3-0 HT 3-0	Teleoptik
14/10/17 Serbia Prva Liga	Teleoptik	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Backa Topola

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	14	8	6	0	33	15	30
2	Borac Cacak	14	9	2	3	27	20	29
3	Javor Ivanjica	14	7	6	1	33	15	27
4	Smederevo	14	7	4	3	22	15	25
5	OFK Vrsac	14	8	1	5	17	13	25
6	FK Napredak	14	6	3	5	14	15	21
7	FK Vozdovac	14	5	4	5	14	12	19
8	Loznica	14	4	7	3	18	20	19
9	FK Dubocica	14	5	4	5	15	17	19
10	Metalac Gornji	14	5	3	6	17	20	18
11	Spartak Subotica	14	4	4	6	22	28	16
12	FK Proleter 023	14	3	6	5	20	16	15
13	Teleoptik	14	3	4	7	17	24	13
14	FK Graficar Beograd	14	3	2	9	18	27	11
15	Jedinstvo UB	14	3	2	9	15	25	11
16	Bor 1919	14	2	2	10	8	28	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Teleoptik	FK Backa Topola
Metalac Gornji	3-0 W	5-1 W
Bor 1919	2-0 W	4-1 W
FK Graficar Beograd	1-4 L	4-1 W
Borac Cacak	1-2 L	2-2 D
FK Dubocica	0-2 L	0-0 D
FK Proleter 023	1-1 D	1-1 D
Loznica	1-1 D	4-0 W
FK Vozdovac	1-2 L	3-2 W
Smederevo	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	5 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FK Backa Topola (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teleoptik

DLDDLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
10/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
03/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
28/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
20/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	2	9	L
16/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
10/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
24/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

FK Backa Topola

WDWWDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	5-1	3	4	W
11/10	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	4-1	4	3	W
05/10	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-1	4	7	W
26/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
21/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	9	6	W
07/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-2	6	6	W
30/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	8	9	D
23/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teleoptik vs FK Backa Topola?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Backa Topola win (59%). Probabilities: Teleoptik 19%, draw 22%, FK Backa Topola 59%.

How many goals are expected in Teleoptik vs FK Backa Topola?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Teleoptik 1.06 · FK Backa Topola 2.01), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Teleoptik vs FK Backa Topola?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.