Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: FK Proleter 023 vs Loznica

Team pages: FK Proleter 023 · Loznica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

FK Proleter 0231.39

Loznica1.16

1X2

41% 28% 31%

FK Proleter 023 Draw Loznica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Proleter 023 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDLWWDDW

Loznica 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWLWDD

Head-to-head

FK Proleter 023 0–1–0 Loznica (1 last)

Loznica0-0FK Proleter 023

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Proleter 023 1525 · Loznica 1502

	FK Proleter 023	Draw	Loznica
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Proleter 023	Loznica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	3.1 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +30’	2.15	3.30	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Proleter 023 0–1–0 Loznica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Loznica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Proleter 023

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Backa Topola	15	9	6	0	35	16	33
2	Javor Ivanjica	15	8	6	1	35	16	30
3	Borac Cacak	15	9	3	3	27	20	30
4	OFK Vrsac	15	8	2	5	18	14	26
5	Smederevo	15	7	4	4	22	16	25
6	FK Dubocica	15	6	4	5	16	17	22
7	FK Napredak	15	6	4	5	14	15	22
8	Loznica	15	4	8	3	19	21	20
9	FK Vozdovac	15	5	4	6	15	14	19
10	Spartak Subotica	15	5	4	6	24	28	19
11	FK Proleter 023	15	4	6	5	22	17	18
12	Metalac Gornji	15	5	3	7	18	22	18
13	Jedinstvo UB	15	4	2	9	17	25	14
14	Teleoptik	15	3	4	8	18	26	13
15	FK Graficar Beograd	15	3	2	10	18	29	11
16	Bor 1919	15	2	2	11	8	30	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Proleter 023	Loznica
FK Vozdovac	2-1 W	1-1 D
Smederevo	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Napredak	0-0 D	0-3 L
Spartak Subotica	6-0 W	2-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	3-0 W	3-2 W
Javor Ivanjica	2-4 L	2-2 D
FK Backa Topola	1-1 D	0-4 L
Teleoptik	1-1 D	1-1 D
Metalac Gornji	0-0 D	4-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Proleter 023 (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Proleter 023

LDDDLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
04/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
21/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
16/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
30/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L

Loznica

WDLDWWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
18/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
12/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
05/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
28/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
21/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	3-2	5	5	W
17/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-2	0	6	D
12/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-4	1	6	L
06/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	11	6	D
29/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	4-2	3	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Proleter 023 vs Loznica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Proleter 023 win (41%). Probabilities: FK Proleter 023 41%, draw 28%, Loznica 31%.

How many goals are expected in FK Proleter 023 vs Loznica?

The model expects 2.55 goals (FK Proleter 023 1.39 · Loznica 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Proleter 023 vs Loznica?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.