Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 17/10, 18:00
Prediction: Jedinstvo UB vs FK Graficar Beograd
Team pages: Jedinstvo UB · FK Graficar Beograd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Jedinstvo UB1.48
FK Graficar Beograd1.45
1X2
Jedinstvo UB
Draw
FK Graficar Beograd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Jedinstvo UB
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
FK Graficar Beograd
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jedinstvo UB
3–1–2
FK Graficar Beograd
(6 last)
- FK Graficar Beograd4-0Jedinstvo UB
- Jedinstvo UB2-0FK Graficar Beograd
- FK Graficar Beograd2-4Jedinstvo UB
- Jedinstvo UB3-1FK Graficar Beograd
- FK Graficar Beograd3-0Jedinstvo UB
- FK Graficar Beograd1-1Jedinstvo UB
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jedinstvo UB 1415 · FK Graficar Beograd 1470
| Jedinstvo UB | Draw | FK Graficar Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 37% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Graficar Beograd (rating 1415 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Jedinstvo UB: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jedinstvo UB | FK Graficar Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jedinstvo UB 3–1–2 FK Graficar Beograd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/25 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Jedinstvo UB |
| 17/08/25 Serbia Prva Liga | Jedinstvo UB | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Graficar Beograd |
| 07/05/24 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 2-4 HT 1-4 | Jedinstvo UB |
| 18/11/23 Serbia Prva Liga | Jedinstvo UB | 3-1 HT 0-1 | FK Graficar Beograd |
| 11/08/23 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Jedinstvo UB |
| 06/05/23 Serbia Prva Liga | FK Graficar Beograd | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Jedinstvo UB |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | FK Backa Topola | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | OFK Vrsac | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Javor Ivanjica | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 30 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | Smederevo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 24 |
| 6 | FK Dubocica | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Metalac Gornji | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 18 |
| 9 | Loznica | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
| 10 | FK Napredak | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 18 |
| 11 | Spartak Subotica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 15 |
| 12 | FK Proleter 023 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 14 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 13 |
| 14 | FK Graficar Beograd | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo UB | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 8 |
| 16 | Bor 1919 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jedinstvo UB | FK Graficar Beograd |
|---|---|---|
| Borac Cacak | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FK Dubocica | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| FK Proleter 023 | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Loznica | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| OFK Vrsac | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Javor Ivanjica | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Graficar Beograd (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jedinstvo UB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/09 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/09 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/08 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
FK Graficar Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 05/10 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/09 | Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/09 | Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 17/09 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 19/08 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Graficar Beograd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jedinstvo UB win (37%). Probabilities: Jedinstvo UB 37%, draw 28%, FK Graficar Beograd 36%.
How many goals are expected in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Graficar Beograd?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Jedinstvo UB 1.48 · FK Graficar Beograd 1.45), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Jedinstvo UB vs FK Graficar Beograd?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.