Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 19/10, 18:00
Prediction: Spartak Subotica vs Borac Cacak
Team pages: Spartak Subotica · Borac Cacak
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Spartak Subotica1.45
Borac Cacak1.36
1X2
Spartak Subotica
Draw
Borac Cacak
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Spartak Subotica
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Borac Cacak
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Spartak Subotica
3–2–1
Borac Cacak
(6 last)
- Spartak Subotica3-1Borac Cacak
- Borac Cacak0-4Spartak Subotica
- Borac Cacak1-0Spartak Subotica
- Spartak Subotica1-0Borac Cacak
- Borac Cacak3-3Spartak Subotica
- Borac Cacak0-0Spartak Subotica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spartak Subotica 1448 · Borac Cacak 1553
| Spartak Subotica | Draw | Borac Cacak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borac Cacak (rating 1448 vs 1553).
- H2H favours Spartak Subotica: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spartak Subotica | Borac Cacak | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.7 | 2.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Subotica 3–2–1 Borac Cacak
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/17 Serbia Super Liga | Spartak Subotica | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Borac Cacak |
| 29/07/17 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Spartak Subotica |
| 17/05/17 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Spartak Subotica |
| 18/03/17 Serbia Super Liga | Spartak Subotica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Borac Cacak |
| 15/10/16 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Spartak Subotica |
| 06/03/16 Serbia Super Liga | Borac Cacak | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Spartak Subotica |
Standings · Serbia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Backa Topola | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Borac Cacak | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | Javor Ivanjica | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Smederevo | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | OFK Vrsac | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | FK Napredak | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Vozdovac | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Loznica | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 20 | 19 |
| 9 | FK Dubocica | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 10 | Metalac Gornji | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | 18 |
| 11 | FK Proleter 023 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 15 |
| 12 | Spartak Subotica | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 15 |
| 13 | Teleoptik | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 13 |
| 14 | FK Graficar Beograd | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 27 | 11 |
| 15 | Jedinstvo UB | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Bor 1919 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Spartak Subotica | Borac Cacak |
|---|---|---|
| FK Dubocica | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| FK Proleter 023 | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| OFK Vrsac | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Jedinstvo UB | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Javor Ivanjica | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| FK Backa Topola | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Borac Cacak (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spartak Subotica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 04/10 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 0-6 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/09 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/09 | Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/08 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 19/08 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
Borac Cacak
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/09 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 16/09 | Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 19/08 | FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spartak Subotica vs Borac Cacak?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Subotica win (38%). Probabilities: Spartak Subotica 38%, draw 27%, Borac Cacak 34%.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Subotica vs Borac Cacak?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Spartak Subotica 1.45 · Borac Cacak 1.36), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Spartak Subotica vs Borac Cacak?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.