Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 05/10, 15:00

Prediction: Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac

Team pages: Smederevo · FK Vozdovac

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Smederevo1.19

FK Vozdovac0.9

1X2

42% 30% 27%

Smederevo Draw FK Vozdovac

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Smederevo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDDLLWWW

FK Vozdovac 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLDWWD

Head-to-head

Smederevo 1–2–1 FK Vozdovac (4 last)

Smederevo0-2FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac0-0Smederevo
Smederevo0-0FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac0-1Smederevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Smederevo 1528 · FK Vozdovac 1528

	Smederevo	Draw	FK Vozdovac
Our model	41%	32%	27%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Smederevo	FK Vozdovac
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.1	1.7 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:34 +29’	2.10	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Smederevo 1–2–1 FK Vozdovac

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Vozdovac
19/10/25 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	0-0 HT 0-0	Smederevo
22/02/25 Serbia Prva Liga	Smederevo	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Vozdovac
14/09/24 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Vozdovac	0-1 HT 0-0	Smederevo

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	11	5	5	1	26	13	20
6	Metalac Gornji	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
7	Spartak Subotica	11	4	3	4	18	17	15
8	FK Vozdovac	11	4	3	4	11	10	15
9	Loznica	11	3	6	2	16	16	15
10	FK Dubocica	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
11	FK Napredak	11	4	2	5	10	15	14
12	FK Proleter 023	11	2	4	5	13	15	10
13	FK Graficar Beograd	11	3	1	7	15	19	10
14	Teleoptik	12	2	4	6	14	23	10
15	Bor 1919	12	2	2	8	7	21	8
16	Jedinstvo UB	11	2	1	8	11	21	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Smederevo	FK Vozdovac
FK Napredak	4-1 W	0-0 D
Spartak Subotica	2-1 W	2-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	1-2 L	1-0 W
Javor Ivanjica	1-3 L	1-1 D
FK Backa Topola	1-1 D	2-3 L
Teleoptik	1-1 D	2-1 W
Metalac Gornji	0-0 D	1-0 W
Bor 1919	4-1 W	2-2 D
FK Graficar Beograd	2-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Vozdovac (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Smederevo

WWDDDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
21/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	4-1	3	7	W
16/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	4	8	W
12/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
05/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-3	7	3	L
30/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
24/08	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	10	5	D
19/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
15/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	4-0	4-1	4	4	W
09/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	9	8	W

FK Vozdovac

LLDWWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
21/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
12/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
07/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
01/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
23/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
19/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
14/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Smederevo win (42%). Probabilities: Smederevo 42%, draw 30%, FK Vozdovac 27%.

How many goals are expected in Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Smederevo 1.19 · FK Vozdovac 0.9), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Smederevo vs FK Vozdovac?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.