Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: Teleoptik vs Bor 1919

Team pages: Teleoptik · Bor 1919

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Teleoptik1.57

Bor 19191

1X2

50% 27% 23%

Teleoptik Draw Bor 1919

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Teleoptik 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDDLLL

Bor 1919 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWLLLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Teleoptik 1448 · Bor 1919 1446

	Teleoptik	Draw	Bor 1919
Our model	49%	28%	23%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Teleoptik	Bor 1919
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	0.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.7 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:27 +11’	1.80	3.40	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	11	5	5	1	26	13	20
6	Metalac Gornji	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
7	Spartak Subotica	11	4	3	4	18	17	15
8	FK Vozdovac	11	4	3	4	11	10	15
9	Loznica	11	3	6	2	16	16	15
10	FK Dubocica	11	4	3	4	13	15	15
11	FK Napredak	11	4	2	5	10	15	14
12	FK Proleter 023	11	2	4	5	13	15	10
13	FK Graficar Beograd	11	3	1	7	15	19	10
14	Bor 1919	11	2	2	7	7	19	8
15	Jedinstvo UB	11	2	1	8	11	21	7
16	Teleoptik	11	1	4	6	12	23	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Teleoptik	Bor 1919
FK Graficar Beograd	1-4 L	0-3 L
Borac Cacak	1-2 L	0-1 L
FK Dubocica	0-2 L	2-1 W
FK Proleter 023	1-1 D	2-1 W
Loznica	1-1 D	0-0 D
FK Vozdovac	1-2 L	2-2 D
Smederevo	1-1 D	1-4 L
FK Napredak	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Bor 1919 (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Teleoptik

LWDDLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
20/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	2	9	L
16/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
10/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
24/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
14/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-2	3	6	W
08/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	8	0	L

Bor 1919

LLDDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
21/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
17/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	4	5	L
13/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	1	4	L
06/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	8	W
30/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
23/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
19/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
15/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-4	1-4	4	4	L
08/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Teleoptik vs Bor 1919?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Teleoptik win (50%). Probabilities: Teleoptik 50%, draw 27%, Bor 1919 23%.

How many goals are expected in Teleoptik vs Bor 1919?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Teleoptik 1.57 · Bor 1919 1), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Teleoptik vs Bor 1919?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.