Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 28/09, 18:00

Prediction: Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji

Team pages: Metalac Gornji

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.49Total
Bor 19191.33
Metalac Gornji1.16
1X2
40% 28% 32%
Bor 1919 Draw Metalac Gornji
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Bor 1919 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLLDDWWLLL
Metalac Gornji 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WLLDLLDWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bor 1919 1454 · Metalac Gornji 1507
Bor 1919DrawMetalac Gornji
Our model39%30%31%
Market41%27%32%
Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Metalac Gornji (rating 1454 vs 1507).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Bor 1919Metalac Gornji
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.71.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.90.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.72.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.15.3 / 0.3

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Borac Cacak 11812 201325
2 FK Backa Topola 11560 201221
3 Smederevo 11632 201321
4 OFK Vrsac 11704 161121
5 Javor Ivanjica 10541 251219
6 Spartak Subotica 10433 181515
7 Metalac Gornji 10424 141214
8 FK Vozdovac 10424 111014
9 FK Dubocica 10424 121414
10 FK Napredak 10415 101513
11 Loznica 10262 141612
12 Bor 1919 10226 7178
13 FK Proleter 023 10145 10157
14 Jedinstvo UB 10217 11187
14 FK Graficar Beograd 10217 11187
16 Teleoptik 10145 11197

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBor 1919Metalac Gornji
FK Graficar Beograd 0-3 L 1-0 W
Borac Cacak 0-1 L 2-1 W
FK Dubocica 2-1 W 5-0 W
FK Proleter 023 2-1 W 0-0 D
Loznica 0-0 D 2-4 L
FK Vozdovac 2-2 D 0-1 L
Smederevo 1-4 L 0-0 D
FK Napredak 0-1 L 1-2 L
Spartak Subotica 0-3 L 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Metalac Gornji (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bor 1919

LLLDDWWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 OFK Vrsac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-1 27 L
17/09 FK Graficar Beograd
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-3 45 L
13/09 Borac Cacak
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-1 14 L
06/09 FK Dubocica
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 2-1 18 W
30/08 FK Proleter 023
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 2-1 36 W
23/08 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 54 D
19/08 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
1-1 2-2 34 D
15/08 Smederevo
Serbia Prva Liga
0-4 1-4 44 L
08/08 FK Napredak
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-1 39 L
01/08 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-3 12 L

Metalac Gornji

WLLDLLDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/09 FK Graficar Beograd
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-0 36 W
16/09 Borac Cacak
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 2-1 46 W
11/09 FK Dubocica
Serbia Prva Liga
3-0 5-0 35 W
05/09 FK Proleter 023
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 37 D
29/08 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
1-1 2-4 60 L
23/08 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-1 0-1 95 L
19/08 Smederevo
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 0-0 74 D
14/08 FK Napredak
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 1-2 810 L
08/08 Spartak Subotica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-2 2-4 54 L
01/08 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Prva Liga
1-0 1-0 69 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bor 1919 win (40%). Probabilities: Bor 1919 40%, draw 28%, Metalac Gornji 32%.

How many goals are expected in Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Bor 1919 1.33 · Metalac Gornji 1.16), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bor 1919 vs Metalac Gornji?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.