Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Borac Cacak vs FK Backa Topola

Team pages: Borac Cacak · FK Backa Topola

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Borac Cacak1.3

FK Backa Topola1.36

1X2

34% 28% 37%

Borac Cacak Draw FK Backa Topola

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Borac Cacak 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWLW

FK Backa Topola 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWDWWDD

Head-to-head

Borac Cacak 0–1–1 FK Backa Topola (2 last)

Borac Cacak0-3FK Backa Topola
FK Backa Topola0-0Borac Cacak

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borac Cacak 1573 · FK Backa Topola 1556

	Borac Cacak	Draw	FK Backa Topola
Our model	34%	28%	37%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borac Cacak	FK Backa Topola
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.5	2.2 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.2	6.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
20:18 +27’	2.60	3.20	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Borac Cacak 0–1–1 FK Backa Topola

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/19 Serbia Prva Liga	Borac Cacak	0-3 HT 0-2	FK Backa Topola
13/10/18 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Backa Topola	0-0 HT 0-0	Borac Cacak

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	10	8	0	2	18	11	24
2	OFK Vrsac	10	7	0	3	16	10	21
3	FK Backa Topola	10	5	5	0	18	10	20
4	Javor Ivanjica	10	5	4	1	25	12	19
5	Smederevo	10	5	3	2	19	13	18
6	Spartak Subotica	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
7	Metalac Gornji	10	4	2	4	14	12	14
8	FK Vozdovac	10	4	2	4	11	10	14
9	FK Dubocica	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	FK Napredak	10	4	1	5	10	15	13
11	Loznica	10	2	6	2	14	16	12
12	Bor 1919	10	2	2	6	7	17	8
13	FK Proleter 023	10	1	4	5	10	15	7
14	Jedinstvo UB	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
14	FK Graficar Beograd	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
16	Teleoptik	10	1	4	5	11	19	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borac Cacak	FK Backa Topola
OFK Vrsac	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Dubocica	2-0 W	0-0 D
FK Proleter 023	2-1 W	1-1 D
Loznica	3-2 W	4-0 W
FK Vozdovac	1-0 W	3-2 W
Smederevo	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borac Cacak

LWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
16/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	6	L
13/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
05/09	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
30/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	7	6	W
23/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	1	7	W
19/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	6	5	W
14/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
01/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L

FK Backa Topola

WDWDWDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
16/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
12/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-0	9	6	W
07/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-2	6	6	W
30/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	8	9	D
23/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
19/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	10	8	D
15/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	3-2	6	6	W
09/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	7	10	D
01/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	12	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borac Cacak vs FK Backa Topola?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Backa Topola win (37%). Probabilities: Borac Cacak 34%, draw 28%, FK Backa Topola 37%.

How many goals are expected in Borac Cacak vs FK Backa Topola?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Borac Cacak 1.3 · FK Backa Topola 1.36), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Borac Cacak vs FK Backa Topola?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.