Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 28/09, 15:00

Prediction: FK Graficar Beograd vs Teleoptik

Team pages: FK Graficar Beograd · Teleoptik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.91Total

FK Graficar Beograd1.7

Teleoptik1.2

1X2

48% 25% 26%

FK Graficar Beograd Draw Teleoptik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Graficar Beograd 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Teleoptik 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Graficar Beograd 1447 · Teleoptik 1450

	FK Graficar Beograd	Draw	Teleoptik
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Graficar Beograd	Teleoptik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.8	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.4	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +5’	1.85	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	10	5	4	1	25	12	19
6	Spartak Subotica	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
7	Metalac Gornji	10	4	2	4	14	12	14
8	FK Vozdovac	10	4	2	4	11	10	14
9	FK Dubocica	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	FK Napredak	10	4	1	5	10	15	13
11	Loznica	10	2	6	2	14	16	12
12	Bor 1919	10	2	2	6	7	17	8
13	FK Proleter 023	10	1	4	5	10	15	7
14	Jedinstvo UB	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
14	FK Graficar Beograd	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
16	Teleoptik	10	1	4	5	11	19	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Graficar Beograd	Teleoptik
Borac Cacak	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Dubocica	1-4 L	0-2 L
FK Proleter 023	1-2 L	1-1 D
Loznica	2-2 D	1-1 D
FK Vozdovac	1-0 W	1-2 L
Smederevo	1-2 L	1-1 D
FK Napredak	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Teleoptik (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Graficar Beograd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
17/09	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	5	5	W
12/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-4	1-4	2	4	L
05/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	1	2	L
31/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-4	6	6	L
24/08	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
19/08	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-2	1	6	D
14/08	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
09/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
02/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	6	5	L

Teleoptik

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	2	9	L
16/09	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
10/09	FK Proleter 023 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
01/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
24/08	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
19/08	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
14/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	4-2	3	6	W
08/08	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	8	0	L
01/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-3	1-5	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Graficar Beograd vs Teleoptik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Graficar Beograd win (48%). Probabilities: FK Graficar Beograd 48%, draw 25%, Teleoptik 26%.

How many goals are expected in FK Graficar Beograd vs Teleoptik?

The model expects 2.91 goals (FK Graficar Beograd 1.7 · Teleoptik 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Graficar Beograd vs Teleoptik?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.