Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 28/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Proleter 023 vs Jedinstvo UB

Team pages: FK Proleter 023 · Jedinstvo UB

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

FK Proleter 0231.51

Jedinstvo UB0.99

1X2

48% 28% 24%

FK Proleter 023 Draw Jedinstvo UB

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Proleter 023 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Jedinstvo UB 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Proleter 023 1458 · Jedinstvo UB 1438

	FK Proleter 023	Draw	Jedinstvo UB
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Proleter 023	Jedinstvo UB
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.9	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.30

23.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +2’	1.83	3.30	3.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	10	5	4	1	25	12	19
6	Spartak Subotica	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
7	Metalac Gornji	10	4	2	4	14	12	14
8	FK Vozdovac	10	4	2	4	11	10	14
9	FK Dubocica	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	FK Napredak	10	4	1	5	10	15	13
11	Loznica	10	2	6	2	14	16	12
12	Bor 1919	10	2	2	6	7	17	8
13	FK Proleter 023	10	1	4	5	10	15	7
14	Jedinstvo UB	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
14	FK Graficar Beograd	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
16	Teleoptik	10	1	4	5	11	19	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Proleter 023	Jedinstvo UB
Javor Ivanjica	2-4 L	0-3 L
FK Backa Topola	1-1 D	2-3 L
Teleoptik	1-1 D	2-0 W
Metalac Gornji	0-0 D	0-1 L
OFK Vrsac	0-1 L	1-3 L
Loznica	0-0 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: FK Proleter 023 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Proleter 023

DLLLWLDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
16/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
05/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
30/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
24/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	6	6	W
19/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	7	5	L
15/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	2-3	7	10	L
08/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
31/07	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Jedinstvo UB

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
16/09	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
12/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/09	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
29/08	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
23/08	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
19/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
15/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	7	6	L
08/08	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	9	0	W
01/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	2	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Proleter 023 vs Jedinstvo UB?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Proleter 023 win (48%). Probabilities: FK Proleter 023 48%, draw 28%, Jedinstvo UB 24%.

How many goals are expected in FK Proleter 023 vs Jedinstvo UB?

The model expects 2.51 goals (FK Proleter 023 1.51 · Jedinstvo UB 0.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Proleter 023 vs Jedinstvo UB?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.