Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 29/09, 18:00

Prediction: FK Vozdovac vs FK Napredak

Team pages: FK Vozdovac · FK Napredak

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.23Total

FK Vozdovac1.32

FK Napredak0.91

1X2

46% 29% 25%

FK Vozdovac Draw FK Napredak

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Vozdovac 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWLDWW

FK Napredak 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLWLLL

Head-to-head

FK Vozdovac 2–2–2 FK Napredak (6 last)

FK Vozdovac1-2FK Napredak
FK Napredak2-1FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac0-0FK Napredak
FK Napredak0-0FK Vozdovac
FK Vozdovac3-0FK Napredak
FK Napredak1-3FK Vozdovac

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Vozdovac 1509 · FK Napredak 1470

	FK Vozdovac	Draw	FK Napredak
Our model	45%	31%	24%
Market	46%	28%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Vozdovac	FK Napredak
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.4	2.5 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.25

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:29 +15’	1.95	3.25	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Vozdovac 2–2–2 FK Napredak

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/02/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Vozdovac	1-2 HT 1-1	FK Napredak
02/09/23 Serbia Super Liga	FK Napredak	2-1 HT 2-0	FK Vozdovac
29/10/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Vozdovac	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Napredak
17/07/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Napredak	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Vozdovac
27/04/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Vozdovac	3-0 HT 3-0	FK Napredak
19/03/22 Serbia Super Liga	FK Napredak	1-3 HT 0-1	FK Vozdovac

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	11	8	1	2	20	13	25
2	FK Backa Topola	11	5	6	0	20	12	21
3	Smederevo	11	6	3	2	20	13	21
4	OFK Vrsac	11	7	0	4	16	11	21
5	Javor Ivanjica	10	5	4	1	25	12	19
6	Spartak Subotica	10	4	3	3	18	15	15
7	Metalac Gornji	10	4	2	4	14	12	14
8	FK Vozdovac	10	4	2	4	11	10	14
9	FK Dubocica	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
10	FK Napredak	10	4	1	5	10	15	13
11	Loznica	10	2	6	2	14	16	12
12	Bor 1919	10	2	2	6	7	17	8
13	FK Proleter 023	10	1	4	5	10	15	7
14	Jedinstvo UB	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
14	FK Graficar Beograd	10	2	1	7	11	18	7
16	Teleoptik	10	1	4	5	11	19	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Vozdovac	FK Napredak
Spartak Subotica	2-0 W	0-1 L
Jedinstvo UB	1-0 W	2-1 W
Javor Ivanjica	1-1 D	0-3 L
FK Backa Topola	2-3 L	1-2 L
Teleoptik	2-1 W	1-1 D
Metalac Gornji	1-0 W	2-1 W
Bor 1919	2-2 D	1-0 W
FK Graficar Beograd	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Vozdovac (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Vozdovac

LLLDWWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	6	W
16/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
12/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
07/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
01/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
23/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
19/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
14/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
08/08	Borac Cacak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
01/08	FK Dubocica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	11	6	L

FK Napredak

WWWDLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	1-4	6	7	L
16/09	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
11/09	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
05/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	3	5	W
30/08	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-3	2	4	L
23/08	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
19/08	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
14/08	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	7	10	W
08/08	Bor 1919 Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	6	9	W
02/08	FK Graficar Beograd Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Vozdovac vs FK Napredak?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Vozdovac win (46%). Probabilities: FK Vozdovac 46%, draw 29%, FK Napredak 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Vozdovac vs FK Napredak?

The model expects 2.23 goals (FK Vozdovac 1.32 · FK Napredak 0.91), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Vozdovac vs FK Napredak?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.