Football · Serbia Super Liga · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923
Team pages: Partizan Belgrade · FK Radnicki 1923
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Partizan Belgrade2.09
FK Radnicki 19231.01
1X2
Partizan Belgrade
Draw
FK Radnicki 1923
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Partizan Belgrade
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
FK Radnicki 1923
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partizan Belgrade
4–2–0
FK Radnicki 1923
(6 last)
- FK Radnicki 19232-4Partizan Belgrade
- Partizan Belgrade2-1FK Radnicki 1923
- Partizan Belgrade3-1FK Radnicki 1923
- FK Radnicki 19230-2Partizan Belgrade
- Partizan Belgrade2-2FK Radnicki 1923
- Partizan Belgrade2-2FK Radnicki 1923
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partizan Belgrade 1594 · FK Radnicki 1923 1484
| Partizan Belgrade | Draw | FK Radnicki 1923 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1594 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partizan Belgrade | FK Radnicki 1923 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 3.5 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.7 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan Belgrade 4–2–0 FK Radnicki 1923
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnicki 1923 | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 03/08/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Radnicki 1923 |
| 27/04/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Radnicki 1923 |
| 06/04/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnicki 1923 | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 10/11/24 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-2 HT 2-1 | FK Radnicki 1923 |
| 25/05/24 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FK Radnicki 1923 |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | FK Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Partizan Belgrade | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partizan Belgrade | FK Radnicki 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Zemun | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Radnicki 1923 (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partizan Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Tobol Kostanay UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | UNA Strassen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 23/07 | UNA Strassen UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | NK Nafta 1903 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/07 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 06/07 | Neftchi Baku Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 02/07 | NK Aluminij Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
FK Radnicki 1923
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/08 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 07/07 | Buducnost Podgorica Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 01/07 | OFK Beograd Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizan Belgrade win (61%). Probabilities: Partizan Belgrade 61%, draw 23%, FK Radnicki 1923 16%.
How many goals are expected in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Partizan Belgrade 2.09 · FK Radnicki 1923 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.