Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Novi Pazar
Team pages: FK Radnik Surdulica · FK Novi Pazar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
FK Radnik Surdulica1.35
FK Novi Pazar0.85
1X2
FK Radnik Surdulica
Draw
FK Novi Pazar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Radnik Surdulica
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FK Novi Pazar
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Radnik Surdulica
3–3
FK Novi Pazar
(6 last)
- FK Novi Pazar0-1FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica2-0FK Novi Pazar
- FK Radnik Surdulica1-0FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar2-0FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica1-4FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar2-1FK Radnik Surdulica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Radnik Surdulica 1517 · FK Novi Pazar 1453
| FK Radnik Surdulica | Draw | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Radnik Surdulica (rating 1517 vs 1453).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Radnik Surdulica | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnik Surdulica 3–0–3 FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Novi Pazar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 22/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 21/12/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 16/08/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 27/04/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1-4 HT 0-2 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 15/12/23 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Mladost Lucani | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Partizan Belgrade | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | FK Macva Sabac | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Radnik Surdulica | FK Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Macva Sabac | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Vojvodina | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| OFK Beograd | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Mladost Lucani | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Radnik Surdulica (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Radnik Surdulica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/07 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/07 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Buducnost Podgorica Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/06 | Levski Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 7 | D |
FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/07 | FK Radnik Surdulica Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 01/07 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Mladost Lucani Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Novi Pazar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnik Surdulica win (48%). Probabilities: FK Radnik Surdulica 48%, draw 29%, FK Novi Pazar 23%.
How many goals are expected in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model expects 2.2 goals (FK Radnik Surdulica 1.35 · FK Novi Pazar 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Radnik Surdulica vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.