Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki
Team pages: Crvena Zvezda · FK Cukaricki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Crvena Zvezda2.39
FK Cukaricki0.56
1X2
Crvena Zvezda
Draw
FK Cukaricki
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Crvena Zvezda
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FK Cukaricki
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crvena Zvezda
6–0
FK Cukaricki
(6 last)
- FK Cukaricki1-2Crvena Zvezda
- FK Cukaricki1-3Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda3-0FK Cukaricki
- Crvena Zvezda5-2FK Cukaricki
- FK Cukaricki1-4Crvena Zvezda
- Crvena Zvezda4-1FK Cukaricki
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Crvena Zvezda 1540 · FK Cukaricki 1506
| Crvena Zvezda | Draw | FK Cukaricki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 16% | 6% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crvena Zvezda | FK Cukaricki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crvena Zvezda 6–0–0 FK Cukaricki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 01/02/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 04/12/25 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Cukaricki |
| 22/12/24 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 5-2 HT 1-1 | FK Cukaricki |
| 15/08/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Cukaricki | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Crvena Zvezda |
| 25/05/24 Serbia Super Liga | Crvena Zvezda | 4-1 HT 1-1 | FK Cukaricki |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Mladost Lucani | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 9 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Partizan Belgrade | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 13 | FK Macva Sabac | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crvena Zvezda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 29/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Larne FC UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/07 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/06 | Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
FK Cukaricki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 04/07 | NK Celje Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Olimpija Ljubljana Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | FC Arges Pitesti Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/05 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crvena Zvezda win (78%). Probabilities: Crvena Zvezda 78%, draw 15%, FK Cukaricki 7%.
How many goals are expected in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Crvena Zvezda 2.39 · FK Cukaricki 0.56), with a 59% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.