Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: Mladost Lucani vs Partizan Belgrade

Team pages: Mladost Lucani · Partizan Belgrade

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
Mladost Lucani0.97
Partizan Belgrade1.54
1X2
23% 27% 50%
Mladost Lucani Draw Partizan Belgrade
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Mladost Lucani 6-4-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDDDDW
Partizan Belgrade 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Mladost Lucani 0–1–5 Partizan Belgrade (6 last)
  • Mladost Lucani1-1Partizan Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade3-0Mladost Lucani
  • Mladost Lucani0-4Partizan Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade2-0Mladost Lucani
  • Mladost Lucani1-3Partizan Belgrade
  • Partizan Belgrade3-0Mladost Lucani
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladost Lucani 1557 · Partizan Belgrade 1578
Mladost LucaniDrawPartizan Belgrade
Our model23%28%49%
Market24%26%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Mladost LucaniPartizan Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.72.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.72.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.24.2 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladost Lucani 015 Partizan Belgrade

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/03/26
Serbia Super Liga
Mladost Lucani1-1
HT 1-0
Partizan Belgrade
24/10/25
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade3-0
HT 1-0
Mladost Lucani
17/05/25
Serbia Super Liga
Mladost Lucani0-4
HT 0-2
Partizan Belgrade
26/02/25
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade2-0
HT 1-0
Mladost Lucani
29/09/24
Serbia Super Liga
Mladost Lucani1-3
HT 1-2
Partizan Belgrade
12/05/24
Serbia Super Liga
Partizan Belgrade3-0
HT 1-0
Mladost Lucani

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IMT Novi Belgrade 5311 7210
2 FK Cukaricki 5311 9310
3 Crvena Zvezda 3300 1019
4 Vojvodina 4301 949
5 Mladost Lucani 5140 437
6 FK Radnicki 1923 4202 446
7 OFK Beograd 5122 695
8 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 3120 435
9 FK Radnik Surdulica 4121 445
10 Partizan Belgrade 4112 664
11 Radnicki Nis 4112 244
12 FK Novi Pazar 4112 264
13 FK Macva Sabac 5104 3123
14 FK Zemun 5014 2111

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMladost LucaniPartizan Belgrade
FK Zemun 1-0 W 2-2 D
FK Macva Sabac 2-1 W 3-1 W
IMT Novi Belgrade 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Mladost Lucani (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladost Lucani

WWWWWDDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 FK Zemun
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-0 37 W
09/08 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 2-2 107 D
03/08 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 04 D
26/07 FK Novi Pazar
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 33 D
19/07 FK Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 1-1 33 D
05/07 FK Macva Sabac
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-1 15 W
01/07 IMT Novi Belgrade
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 60 W
28/06 FK Novi Pazar
Europe Friendlies
2-1 3-1 33 W
24/05 FK Napredak
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 1-0 40 W
16/05 Javor Ivanjica
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 4-2 44 W

Partizan Belgrade

DWDWWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 FK Radnicki 1923
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 0-1 115 L
13/08 Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-1 2-1 105 W
06/08 Tobol Kostanay
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-0 3-0 66 W
02/08 IMT Novi Belgrade
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 1-2 65 L
30/07 UNA Strassen
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 42 W
26/07 FK Macva Sabac
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 3-1 312 W
23/07 UNA Strassen
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
2-0 4-0 33 W
18/07 FK Zemun
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 2-2 56 D
11/07 NK Nafta 1903
Europe Friendlies
1-0 4-1 33 W
10/07 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-2 51 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladost Lucani vs Partizan Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (50%). Probabilities: Mladost Lucani 23%, draw 27%, Partizan Belgrade 50%.

How many goals are expected in Mladost Lucani vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Mladost Lucani 0.97 · Partizan Belgrade 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mladost Lucani vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.