Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: OFK Beograd vs FK Zemun

Team pages: OFK Beograd · FK Zemun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
OFK Beograd1.84
FK Zemun0.86
1X2
60% 24% 17%
OFK Beograd Draw FK Zemun
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
OFK Beograd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWWLLLDWDL
FK Zemun 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLWDLLLL
Head-to-head
OFK Beograd 2–2–2 FK Zemun (6 last)
  • FK Zemun0-1OFK Beograd
  • OFK Beograd0-0FK Zemun
  • OFK Beograd1-1FK Zemun
  • FK Zemun0-3OFK Beograd
  • FK Zemun3-0OFK Beograd
  • OFK Beograd0-2FK Zemun
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OFK Beograd 1473 · FK Zemun 1434
OFK BeogradDrawFK Zemun
Our model59%25%16%
Market60%23%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OFK BeogradFK Zemun
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.60.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.71.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.24.3 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · OFK Beograd 222 FK Zemun

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/05/23
Serbia Srpska Liga
FK Zemun0-1
HT 0-1
OFK Beograd
29/10/22
Serbia Srpska Liga
OFK Beograd0-0
HT 0-0
FK Zemun
30/04/22
Serbia Srpska Liga
OFK Beograd1-1
HT 0-1
FK Zemun
06/10/21
Serbia Cup
FK Zemun0-3
HT 0-3
OFK Beograd
13/05/17
Serbia Prva Liga
FK Zemun3-0
HT 1-0
OFK Beograd
29/10/16
Serbia Prva Liga
OFK Beograd0-2
HT 0-2
FK Zemun

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IMT Novi Belgrade 5311 7210
2 FK Cukaricki 5311 9310
3 Crvena Zvezda 3300 1019
4 Vojvodina 4301 949
5 Mladost Lucani 5140 437
6 FK Radnicki 1923 4202 446
7 OFK Beograd 5122 695
8 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 3120 435
9 FK Radnik Surdulica 4121 445
10 Partizan Belgrade 4112 664
11 Radnicki Nis 4112 244
12 FK Novi Pazar 4112 264
13 FK Macva Sabac 5104 3123
14 FK Zemun 5014 2111

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OFK Beograd

LWWLLLDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 FK Cukaricki
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 0-2 64 L
09/08 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Serbia Super Liga
1-2 2-2 28 D
01/08 FK Novi Pazar
Serbia Super Liga
2-1 4-1 36 W
25/07 FK Radnik Surdulica
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-0 87 D
19/07 Vojvodina
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-4 13 L
09/07 Buducnost Podgorica
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 68 L
08/07 OFK Vrsac
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 94 L
01/07 FK Radnicki 1923
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 31 W
22/05 Crvena Zvezda
Serbia Super Liga
1-0 2-1 11 W
17/05 Vojvodina
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 1-2 85 L

FK Zemun

LLWLWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Mladost Lucani
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 0-1 97 L
08/08 FK Radnicki 1923
Serbia Super Liga
0-2 0-3 58 L
02/08 Radnicki Nis
Serbia Super Liga
0-0 0-1 17 L
25/07 IMT Novi Belgrade
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 0-4 23 L
18/07 Partizan Belgrade
Serbia Super Liga
0-1 2-2 06 D
08/07 Radnik Bijeljina
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 44 W
01/07 FK Mornar Bar
Europe Friendlies
1-1 1-2 83 L
09/05 Jedinstvo UB
Serbia Prva Liga
1-1 3-1 23 W
03/05 Loznica
Serbia Prva Liga
0-0 1-2 42 L
27/04 FK Vozdovac
Serbia Prva Liga
0-2 0-3 22 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OFK Beograd vs FK Zemun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OFK Beograd win (60%). Probabilities: OFK Beograd 60%, draw 24%, FK Zemun 17%.

How many goals are expected in OFK Beograd vs FK Zemun?

The model expects 2.7 goals (OFK Beograd 1.84 · FK Zemun 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in OFK Beograd vs FK Zemun?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.