Football · Serbia Super Liga · 22/08, 18:00

Prediction: FK Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Belgrade

Team pages: FK Radnicki 1923 · IMT Novi Belgrade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

FK Radnicki 19231.1

IMT Novi Belgrade0.85

1X2

41% 31% 28%

FK Radnicki 1923 Draw IMT Novi Belgrade

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

FK Radnicki 1923 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLWWLLWW

IMT Novi Belgrade 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWWWLD

Head-to-head

FK Radnicki 1923 3–1–2 IMT Novi Belgrade (6 last)

FK Radnicki 19231-0IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade0-0FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19233-1IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade2-0FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19233-1IMT Novi Belgrade
FK Radnicki 19231-3IMT Novi Belgrade

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Radnicki 1923 1516 · IMT Novi Belgrade 1515

	FK Radnicki 1923	Draw	IMT Novi Belgrade
Our model	40%	34%	27%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Radnicki 1923: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Radnicki 1923	IMT Novi Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.9	1 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.8	2.3 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.25

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +4’	2.20	3.25	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnicki 1923 3–1–2 IMT Novi Belgrade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Europe Friendlies	FK Radnicki 1923	1-0 HT 0-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
10/05/26 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Radnicki 1923
31/01/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	3-1 HT 2-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
24/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Radnicki 1923
07/07/25 Europe Friendlies	FK Radnicki 1923	3-1 HT 1-0	IMT Novi Belgrade
30/11/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	1-3 HT 1-2	IMT Novi Belgrade

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IMT Novi Belgrade	5	3	1	1	7	2	10
2	FK Cukaricki	5	3	1	1	9	3	10
3	Crvena Zvezda	3	3	0	0	10	1	9
4	Vojvodina	4	3	0	1	9	4	9
5	Mladost Lucani	5	1	4	0	4	3	7
6	FK Radnicki 1923	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
7	OFK Beograd	5	1	2	2	6	9	5
8	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	3	1	2	0	4	3	5
9	FK Radnik Surdulica	4	1	2	1	4	4	5
10	Partizan Belgrade	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
11	Radnicki Nis	4	1	1	2	2	4	4
12	FK Novi Pazar	4	1	1	2	2	6	4
13	FK Macva Sabac	5	1	0	4	3	12	3
14	FK Zemun	5	0	1	4	2	11	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Radnicki 1923	IMT Novi Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Zemun	3-0 W	4-0 W
FK Cukaricki	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FK Radnicki 1923

DDDLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
01/08	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-3	0-3	9	5	L
18/07	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
11/07	IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
07/07	Buducnost Podgorica Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	5	8	W
01/07	OFK Beograd Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
24/05	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga	1-1	2-2	9	7	D
16/05	FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
10/05	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

IMT Novi Belgrade

DDLWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
09/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
02/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
25/07	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	4-0	11	3	W
19/07	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	4	8	W
11/07	FK Radnicki 1923 Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
03/07	Maccabi Tel Aviv Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
01/07	Mladost Lucani Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
26/06	Borac Banja Luka Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
24/05	FK Backa Topola Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Radnicki 1923 win (41%). Probabilities: FK Radnicki 1923 41%, draw 31%, IMT Novi Belgrade 28%.

How many goals are expected in FK Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model expects 1.95 goals (FK Radnicki 1923 1.1 · IMT Novi Belgrade 0.85), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Radnicki 1923 vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.