Football · Serbia Super Liga · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Zemun vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Team pages: FK Zemun · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

FK Zemun0.85

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.64

1X2

19% 26% 56%

FK Zemun Draw FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zemun 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLDD

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWLWLW

Head-to-head

FK Zemun 0–2 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (2 last)

FK Zemun0-2FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo2-0FK Zemun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zemun 1416 · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1484

	FK Zemun	Draw	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Our model	18%	27%	55%
Market	19%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.49 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (rating 1416 vs 1484).
H2H favours FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zemun	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.9	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	2.2 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X3.80

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.98

2 (-0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +5’	4.75	3.80	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zemun 0–0–2 FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/21 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Zemun	0-2 HT 0-1	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
04/09/20 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	2-0 HT 1-0	FK Zemun

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	24	3	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	21	10	22
3	FK Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	17	9	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	10	12	16
5	IMT Novi Belgrade	10	4	3	3	12	7	15
6	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	9	4	2	3	14	10	14
7	FK Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	14	15	14
8	FK Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	10	11	13
9	FK Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	12	18	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	13	21	9
11	Partizan Belgrade	9	2	2	5	17	19	8
12	FK Macva Sabac	10	2	2	6	6	17	8
13	Radnicki Nis	9	2	2	5	6	11	8
14	FK Zemun	10	0	3	7	6	19	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zemun	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Novi Pazar	2-2 D	0-2 L
FK Radnik Surdulica	1-1 D	5-1 W
Vojvodina	1-2 L	0-1 L
Crvena Zvezda	0-2 L	1-2 L
OFK Beograd	0-1 L	2-2 D
Mladost Lucani	0-1 L	0-0 D
Radnicki Nis	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zemun

DLLLLLLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-2	4	6	D
14/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
06/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
30/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	4	6	L
22/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
16/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	9	7	L
08/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-2	0-3	5	8	L
02/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
25/07	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-4	2	3	L
18/07	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-2	0	6	D

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

DWDDLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
17/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
11/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	9	5	W
04/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	5-1	6	6	W
23/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	4	7	D
03/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
17/07	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
22/05	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	10	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zemun vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win (56%). Probabilities: FK Zemun 19%, draw 26%, FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 56%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zemun vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

The model expects 2.49 goals (FK Zemun 0.85 · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1.64), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zemun vs FK Zeleznicar Pancevo?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.