Football · Serbia Super Liga · 18/10, 18:30

Prediction: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Partizan Belgrade

Team pages: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo · Partizan Belgrade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1.69

Partizan Belgrade1.77

1X2

36% 25% 39%

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Draw Partizan Belgrade

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWLWLWW

Partizan Belgrade 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWLLDW

Head-to-head

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1–5 Partizan Belgrade (6 last)

Partizan Belgrade2-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Partizan Belgrade1-3FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo0-1Partizan Belgrade
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo0-1Partizan Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade2-0FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
Partizan Belgrade3-1FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1519 · Partizan Belgrade 1491

	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	Draw	Partizan Belgrade
Our model	36%	24%	40%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	Partizan Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0	6.1 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.60

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:16 +1’	2.60	3.60	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1–0–5 Partizan Belgrade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
22/11/25 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	1-3 HT 1-2	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
20/07/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-1 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
08/12/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	0-1 HT 0-0	Partizan Belgrade
04/08/24 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	2-0 HT 2-0	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo
02/03/24 Serbia Super Liga	Partizan Belgrade	3-1 HT 3-1	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	11	10	1	0	27	3	31
2	Vojvodina	11	8	1	2	25	11	25
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	11	5	3	3	13	7	18
4	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	10	5	2	3	17	10	17
5	FK Radnicki 1923	10	5	2	3	17	12	17
6	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	10	12	16
7	FK Radnik Surdulica	11	3	5	3	14	16	14
8	FK Novi Pazar	11	3	4	4	10	12	13
9	FK Cukaricki	11	3	3	5	14	20	12
10	Partizan Belgrade	10	3	2	5	18	19	11
11	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	13	21	9
12	FK Macva Sabac	11	2	3	6	8	19	9
13	Radnicki Nis	10	2	2	6	7	15	8
14	FK Zemun	11	0	3	8	6	22	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	Partizan Belgrade
FK Zemun	3-0 W	2-2 D
Crvena Zvezda	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Macva Sabac	2-0 W	3-1 W
FK Novi Pazar	0-2 L	1-0 W
FK Radnik Surdulica	5-1 W	4-4 D
Vojvodina	0-1 L	2-3 L
OFK Beograd	2-2 D	3-1 W
Mladost Lucani	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo

WDDLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
20/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
17/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
11/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	9	5	W
04/09	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-2	5	7	L
29/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	5-1	6	6	W
23/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
09/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-2	4	7	D
03/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
17/07	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	1-1	2-1	3	4	W

Partizan Belgrade

DWLLLWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
19/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-3	4-4	5	8	D
13/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-2	2-3	8	12	L
06/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-2	5	9	L
31/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
23/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
16/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
02/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
26/07	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	1-0	3-1	3	12	W
18/07	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	5	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Partizan Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Partizan Belgrade win (39%). Probabilities: FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 36%, draw 25%, Partizan Belgrade 39%.

How many goals are expected in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model expects 3.46 goals (FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 1.69 · Partizan Belgrade 1.77), with a 57% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Partizan Belgrade?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.