Football · Serbia Super Liga · 18/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Belgrade

Team pages: FK Novi Pazar · IMT Novi Belgrade

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

FK Novi Pazar1.13

IMT Novi Belgrade1.08

1X2

36% 30% 34%

FK Novi Pazar Draw IMT Novi Belgrade

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Novi Pazar 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWLDWDDL

IMT Novi Belgrade 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWDLDW

Head-to-head

FK Novi Pazar 3–1–2 IMT Novi Belgrade (6 last)

IMT Novi Belgrade2-3FK Novi Pazar
FK Novi Pazar1-2IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade0-0FK Novi Pazar
FK Novi Pazar3-1IMT Novi Belgrade
IMT Novi Belgrade0-1FK Novi Pazar
IMT Novi Belgrade1-0FK Novi Pazar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Novi Pazar 1491 · IMT Novi Belgrade 1507

	FK Novi Pazar	Draw	IMT Novi Belgrade
Our model	36%	32%	33%
Market	37%	29%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Novi Pazar: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Novi Pazar	IMT Novi Belgrade
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.2	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.7	3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.20

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:08 +10’	2.50	3.20	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Novi Pazar 3–1–2 IMT Novi Belgrade

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	2-3 HT 0-2	FK Novi Pazar
04/08/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Novi Pazar	1-2 HT 0-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
28/03/25 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Novi Pazar
03/11/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Novi Pazar	3-1 HT 3-1	IMT Novi Belgrade
07/05/24 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	0-1 HT 0-1	FK Novi Pazar
10/12/23 Serbia Super Liga	IMT Novi Belgrade	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Novi Pazar

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	11	10	1	0	27	3	31
2	Vojvodina	11	8	1	2	25	11	25
3	IMT Novi Belgrade	11	5	3	3	13	7	18
4	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	10	5	2	3	17	10	17
5	FK Radnicki 1923	10	5	2	3	17	12	17
6	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	10	12	16
7	FK Radnik Surdulica	11	3	5	3	14	16	14
8	FK Novi Pazar	11	3	4	4	10	12	13
9	FK Cukaricki	11	3	3	5	14	20	12
10	Partizan Belgrade	10	3	2	5	18	19	11
11	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	13	21	9
12	FK Macva Sabac	11	2	3	6	8	19	9
13	Radnicki Nis	10	2	2	6	7	15	8
14	FK Zemun	11	0	3	8	6	22	3

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Novi Pazar	IMT Novi Belgrade
Partizan Belgrade	0-1 L	2-1 W
FK Zemun	2-2 D	4-0 W
FK Macva Sabac	1-1 D	0-1 L
FK Radnik Surdulica	0-1 L	1-0 W
Vojvodina	2-0 W	1-1 D
Crvena Zvezda	0-2 L	0-1 L
OFK Beograd	1-4 L	1-1 D
Mladost Lucani	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Novi Pazar

DLLWLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
19/09	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-2	7	6	D
12/09	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
04/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
29/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
23/08	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	8	L
17/08	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
08/08	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
01/08	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	1-2	1-4	4	6	L
26/07	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

IMT Novi Belgrade

WWLDLWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
19/09	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
13/09	Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
07/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	4	8	D
30/08	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
22/08	FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
16/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
09/08	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L
02/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
25/07	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	1-0	4-0	11	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Novi Pazar win (36%). Probabilities: FK Novi Pazar 36%, draw 30%, IMT Novi Belgrade 34%.

How many goals are expected in FK Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model expects 2.21 goals (FK Novi Pazar 1.13 · IMT Novi Belgrade 1.08), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Novi Pazar vs IMT Novi Belgrade?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.