Football · Serbia Super Liga · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: Partizan Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar
Team pages: Partizan Belgrade · FK Novi Pazar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Partizan Belgrade2.17
FK Novi Pazar1.17
1X2
Partizan Belgrade
Draw
FK Novi Pazar
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Partizan Belgrade
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
FK Novi Pazar
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Partizan Belgrade
5–1
FK Novi Pazar
(6 last)
- Partizan Belgrade2-1FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar2-3Partizan Belgrade
- Partizan Belgrade2-0FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar2-1Partizan Belgrade
- Partizan Belgrade3-2FK Novi Pazar
- FK Novi Pazar3-4Partizan Belgrade
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Partizan Belgrade 1517 · FK Novi Pazar 1468
| Partizan Belgrade | Draw | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 22% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Partizan Belgrade (rating 1517 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Partizan Belgrade: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Partizan Belgrade | FK Novi Pazar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Partizan Belgrade 5–0–1 FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 HT 2-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 09/04/26 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 09/11/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 04/05/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Partizan Belgrade |
| 08/03/25 Serbia Super Liga | Partizan Belgrade | 3-2 HT 2-0 | FK Novi Pazar |
| 21/10/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Novi Pazar | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Partizan Belgrade |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | FK Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 11 | Partizan Belgrade | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 8 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Partizan Belgrade | FK Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| FK Radnik Surdulica | 4-4 D | 0-1 L |
| Vojvodina | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Crvena Zvezda | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| OFK Beograd | 3-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Mladost Lucani | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| FK Radnicki 1923 | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Macva Sabac | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Zemun | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Partizan Belgrade (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Partizan Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 12 | L |
| 06/09 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 31/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/07 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 18/07 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
FK Novi Pazar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 17/08 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Partizan Belgrade win (59%). Probabilities: Partizan Belgrade 59%, draw 22%, FK Novi Pazar 19%.
How many goals are expected in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Partizan Belgrade 2.17 · FK Novi Pazar 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Partizan Belgrade vs FK Novi Pazar?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.