Football · Serbia Super Liga · 10/10, 18:00
Prediction: IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Radnik Surdulica
Team pages: IMT Novi Belgrade · FK Radnik Surdulica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
IMT Novi Belgrade1.4
FK Radnik Surdulica0.82
1X2
IMT Novi Belgrade
Draw
FK Radnik Surdulica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
IMT Novi Belgrade
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FK Radnik Surdulica
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IMT Novi Belgrade
3–2–1
FK Radnik Surdulica
(6 last)
- IMT Novi Belgrade0-0FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica0-1IMT Novi Belgrade
- FK Radnik Surdulica2-0IMT Novi Belgrade
- IMT Novi Belgrade5-2FK Radnik Surdulica
- FK Radnik Surdulica0-1IMT Novi Belgrade
- IMT Novi Belgrade1-1FK Radnik Surdulica
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IMT Novi Belgrade 1520 · FK Radnik Surdulica 1486
| IMT Novi Belgrade | Draw | FK Radnik Surdulica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 51% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours IMT Novi Belgrade: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IMT Novi Belgrade | FK Radnik Surdulica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.5 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IMT Novi Belgrade 3–2–1 FK Radnik Surdulica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 29/10/25 Serbia Cup | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 26/09/25 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 2-0 HT 2-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 01/05/24 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 5-2 HT 3-2 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
| 16/03/24 Serbia Super Liga | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | IMT Novi Belgrade |
| 06/10/23 Serbia Super Liga | IMT Novi Belgrade | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Radnik Surdulica |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 28 |
| 2 | Vojvodina | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Mladost Lucani | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 16 |
| 5 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| 9 | FK Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 11 |
| 10 | OFK Beograd | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
| 11 | Partizan Belgrade | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 8 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Radnicki Nis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IMT Novi Belgrade | FK Radnik Surdulica |
|---|---|---|
| Vojvodina | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Crvena Zvezda | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| OFK Beograd | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Mladost Lucani | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Macva Sabac | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Partizan Belgrade | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| FK Zemun | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Cukaricki | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: IMT Novi Belgrade (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IMT Novi Belgrade
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 30/08 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/08 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
FK Radnik Surdulica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
3-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 14/09 | FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/09 | Crvena Zvezda Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-5 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/08 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/07 | Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Radnik Surdulica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IMT Novi Belgrade win (50%). Probabilities: IMT Novi Belgrade 50%, draw 28%, FK Radnik Surdulica 22%.
How many goals are expected in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Radnik Surdulica?
The model expects 2.23 goals (IMT Novi Belgrade 1.4 · FK Radnik Surdulica 0.82), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in IMT Novi Belgrade vs FK Radnik Surdulica?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.