Football · Serbia Super Liga · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: FK Radnicki 1923 vs Crvena Zvezda

Team pages: FK Radnicki 1923 · Crvena Zvezda

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

FK Radnicki 19230.79

Crvena Zvezda1.97

1X2

14% 22% 65%

FK Radnicki 1923 Draw Crvena Zvezda

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Radnicki 1923 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWDDWW

Crvena Zvezda 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

FK Radnicki 1923 1–5 Crvena Zvezda (6 last)

FK Radnicki 19230-2Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda2-1FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19234-1Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda6-0FK Radnicki 1923
FK Radnicki 19230-1Crvena Zvezda
Crvena Zvezda3-2FK Radnicki 1923

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Radnicki 1923 1546 · Crvena Zvezda 1600

	FK Radnicki 1923	Draw	Crvena Zvezda
Our model	13%	23%	64%
Market	14%	21%	65%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crvena Zvezda (rating 1546 vs 1600).
H2H favours Crvena Zvezda: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Radnicki 1923	Crvena Zvezda
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	2.4 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 7	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.1 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.50

X4.50

21.42

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +3’	6.50	4.50	1.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Radnicki 1923 1–0–5 Crvena Zvezda

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	0-2 HT 0-1	Crvena Zvezda
28/09/25 Serbia Super Liga	Crvena Zvezda	2-1 HT 0-1	FK Radnicki 1923
23/04/25 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	4-1 HT 1-0	Crvena Zvezda
08/02/25 Serbia Super Liga	Crvena Zvezda	6-0 HT 2-0	FK Radnicki 1923
01/09/24 Serbia Super Liga	FK Radnicki 1923	0-1 HT 0-0	Crvena Zvezda
12/05/24 Serbia Super Liga	Crvena Zvezda	3-2 HT 3-2	FK Radnicki 1923

Standings · Serbia Super Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crvena Zvezda	10	9	1	0	24	3	28
2	Vojvodina	10	7	1	2	21	10	22
3	FK Radnicki 1923	9	5	2	2	17	9	17
4	Mladost Lucani	10	4	4	2	10	12	16
5	IMT Novi Belgrade	10	4	3	3	12	7	15
6	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo	9	4	2	3	14	10	14
7	FK Radnik Surdulica	10	3	5	2	14	15	14
8	FK Novi Pazar	10	3	4	3	10	11	13
9	FK Cukaricki	10	3	2	5	12	18	11
10	OFK Beograd	10	2	3	5	13	21	9
11	Partizan Belgrade	9	2	2	5	17	19	8
12	FK Macva Sabac	10	2	2	6	6	17	8
13	Radnicki Nis	9	2	2	5	6	11	8
14	FK Zemun	10	0	3	7	6	19	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Radnicki 1923	Crvena Zvezda
FK Macva Sabac	0-0 D	5-0 W
Radnicki Nis	1-1 D	3-0 W
IMT Novi Belgrade	2-1 W	1-0 W
Partizan Belgrade	1-0 W	2-1 W
FK Zemun	3-0 W	2-0 W
FK Cukaricki	0-3 L	4-0 W
FK Novi Pazar	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Crvena Zvezda (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Radnicki 1923

DLLWWWDDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	OFK Beograd Serbia Super Liga	2-2	5-3	4	5	W
12/09	Mladost Lucani Serbia Super Liga	3-0	5-0	8	6	W
05/09	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
29/08	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
22/08	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-1	8	7	W
16/08	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
08/08	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
01/08	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	0-3	0-3	9	5	L
18/07	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
24/05	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga	1-1	2-2	9	7	D

Crvena Zvezda

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
17/09	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga	1-1	2-1	6	6	W
13/09	IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
10/09	FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
06/09	Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga	2-1	2-1	2	9	W
30/08	FK Zemun Serbia Super Liga	0-0	2-0	5	6	W
23/08	FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga	1-0	4-0	3	3	W
08/08	FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
26/07	Vojvodina Serbia Super Liga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
17/07	FK Macva Sabac Serbia Super Liga	3-0	5-0	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Radnicki 1923 vs Crvena Zvezda?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Crvena Zvezda win (65%). Probabilities: FK Radnicki 1923 14%, draw 22%, Crvena Zvezda 65%.

How many goals are expected in FK Radnicki 1923 vs Crvena Zvezda?

The model expects 2.76 goals (FK Radnicki 1923 0.79 · Crvena Zvezda 1.97), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Radnicki 1923 vs Crvena Zvezda?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.