Football · Serbia Super Liga · 16/08, 21:00
Prediction: FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani
Team pages: FK Zemun · Mladost Lucani
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
FK Zemun1.12
Mladost Lucani1.26
1X2
FK Zemun
Draw
Mladost Lucani
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Zemun
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Mladost Lucani
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Zemun
0–3–2
Mladost Lucani
(5 last)
- FK Zemun0-3Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani2-1FK Zemun
- FK Zemun0-0Mladost Lucani
- FK Zemun0-0Mladost Lucani
- Mladost Lucani1-1FK Zemun
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Zemun 1457 · Mladost Lucani 1548
| FK Zemun | Draw | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mladost Lucani (rating 1457 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Mladost Lucani: 2-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zemun | Mladost Lucani | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zemun 0–3–2 Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/18 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zemun | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Mladost Lucani |
| 18/08/18 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Zemun |
| 29/04/18 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zemun | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 05/11/17 Serbia Super Liga | FK Zemun | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mladost Lucani |
| 22/07/17 Serbia Super Liga | Mladost Lucani | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Zemun |
Standings · Serbia Super Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | IMT Novi Belgrade | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | FK Cukaricki | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 7 | Mladost Lucani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
| 9 | Partizan Belgrade | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | FK Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Radnicki Nis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | FK Macva Sabac | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
| 13 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | FK Zemun | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zemun | Mladost Lucani |
|---|---|---|
| Radnicki Nis | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| IMT Novi Belgrade | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Macva Sabac | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zemun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | FK Radnicki 1923 Serbia Super Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 25/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | Partizan Belgrade Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 08/07 | Radnik Bijeljina Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | FK Mornar Bar Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Loznica Serbia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | FK Macva Sabac Serbia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Mladost Lucani
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | FK Cukaricki Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 03/08 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Novi Pazar Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/07 | FK Radnik Surdulica Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | FK Macva Sabac Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | IMT Novi Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Novi Pazar Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Napredak Serbia Super Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Javor Ivanjica Serbia Super Liga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Radnicki Nis Serbia Super Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Mladost Lucani win (39%). Probabilities: FK Zemun 32%, draw 30%, Mladost Lucani 39%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani?
The model expects 2.38 goals (FK Zemun 1.12 · Mladost Lucani 1.26), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zemun vs Mladost Lucani?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.