Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 07/08, 20:00
Prediction: Top Oss vs NAC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.21Total
Top Oss1.25
NAC1.97
1X2
Top Oss
Draw
NAC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Top Oss
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
NAC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Top Oss
0–2–4
NAC
(6 last)
- Top Oss2-2NAC
- Top Oss1-1NAC
- NAC2-0Top Oss
- Top Oss1-2NAC
- NAC1-0Top Oss
- NAC3-0Top Oss
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Top Oss 1514 · NAC 1490
| Top Oss | Draw | NAC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours NAC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Top Oss | NAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.4 | 2.9 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Top Oss 0–2–4 NAC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Top Oss | 2-2 HT 0-0 | NAC |
| 10/05/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 1-1 HT 0-1 | NAC |
| 08/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Top Oss |
| 20/01/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 1-2 HT 0-2 | NAC |
| 19/08/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Top Oss |
| 29/04/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | NAC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Top Oss |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RKC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roda JC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Top Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Top Oss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Genk Club Friendly List |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Go Ahead Eagles Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 13/03 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
NAC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Bolton Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | OFI Crete Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | SC Lokeren-Temse Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Excelsior Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/07 | HSV Hoek Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/07 | FC Eindhoven Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Top Oss vs NAC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NAC win (53%). Probabilities: Top Oss 23%, draw 24%, NAC 53%.
How many goals are expected in Top Oss vs NAC?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Top Oss 1.25 · NAC 1.97), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Top Oss vs NAC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.