Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 15/08, 16:30
Prediction: FC Volendam vs Top Oss
Team pages: FC Volendam · Top Oss
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
FC Volendam2.48
Top Oss1.1
1X2
FC Volendam
Draw
Top Oss
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Volendam
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Top Oss
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Volendam
3–1–2
Top Oss
(6 last)
- Top Oss0-2FC Volendam
- FC Volendam4-0Top Oss
- FC Volendam1-2Top Oss
- Top Oss2-3FC Volendam
- Top Oss2-0FC Volendam
- FC Volendam1-1Top Oss
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Volendam 1497 · Top Oss 1509
| FC Volendam | Draw | Top Oss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 67% | 19% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Volendam: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Volendam | Top Oss | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 11/33/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.8 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Volendam 3–1–2 Top Oss
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Volendam |
| 31/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Top Oss |
| 01/04/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Top Oss |
| 24/09/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 2-3 HT 0-0 | FC Volendam |
| 05/04/21 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Top Oss | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Volendam |
| 20/11/20 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Volendam | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Top Oss |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | PSV Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | NAC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Eindhoven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Almere City FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | De Graafschap | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Helmond Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | RKC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | VVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | AZ Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Roda JC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Volendam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | Ajax Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | RKC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/07 | RKAV Volendam Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
Top Oss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Genk Club Friendly List |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Go Ahead Eagles Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 06/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/03 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 17/03 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Volendam vs Top Oss?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Volendam win (67%). Probabilities: FC Volendam 67%, draw 19%, Top Oss 14%.
How many goals are expected in FC Volendam vs Top Oss?
The model expects 3.59 goals (FC Volendam 2.48 · Top Oss 1.1), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Volendam vs Top Oss?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.