Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: RKC vs FC Dordrecht

Team pages: RKC · FC Dordrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

RKC1.82

FC Dordrecht1.16

1X2

52% 25% 23%

RKC Draw FC Dordrecht

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

RKC 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

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FC Dordrecht 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RKC 2–2–2 FC Dordrecht (6 last)

RKC1-1FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht1-2RKC
RKC4-4FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht2-0RKC
FC Dordrecht1-0RKC
RKC1-0FC Dordrecht

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RKC (rating 1530 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RKC	FC Dordrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.1	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.82	Pinn 1.82
X	3.89 → 3.89	Pinn 3.89
2	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:45	1.82	3.89	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RKC 2–2–2 FC Dordrecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Dordrecht
20/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	1-2 HT 1-0	RKC
19/04/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	4-4 HT 0-1	FC Dordrecht
30/11/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	2-0 HT 1-0	RKC
12/03/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	1-0 HT 0-0	RKC
27/10/17 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	RKC	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Dordrecht

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
2	FC Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
2	NAC	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
4	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Almere City FC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	FC Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	RKC	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	De Graafschap	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Helmond Sport	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	AZ Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Utrecht Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	PSV Reserves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Maastricht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	VVV	1	0	0	1	3	4	0
18	Ajax Reserves	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
18	Top Oss	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
20	Roda JC	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

RKC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-1	2	6	D
02/08	Kifisias FC Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
29/07	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-2	6	0	L
18/07	FC Volendam Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	2	0	D
18/07	Alemannia Aachen Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	0	5	D
11/07	Kozakken Boys Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
30/06	Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	8	0	W
09/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
05/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
01/05	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	10	3	D

FC Dordrecht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
01/08	Anderlecht II Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	6	0	L
18/07	Lusail World Club Friendlies	3-0	5-0	9	2	W
14/07	Borussia Dortmund II Europe Friendlies	1-1	4-1	5	1	W
04/07	Feyenoord Europe Friendlies	0-4	0-6	1	1	L
27/06	Schalke II Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	3	0	W
24/04	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
12/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	8	4	W
06/04	Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RKC vs FC Dordrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RKC win (52%). Probabilities: RKC 52%, draw 25%, FC Dordrecht 23%.

How many goals are expected in RKC vs FC Dordrecht?

The model expects 2.97 goals (RKC 1.82 · FC Dordrecht 1.16), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in RKC vs FC Dordrecht?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.