Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 17/08, 20:00
Prediction: FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse
Team pages: FC Utrecht Reserves · Vitesse
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
FC Utrecht Reserves1.21
Vitesse1.44
1X2
FC Utrecht Reserves
Draw
Vitesse
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Utrecht Reserves
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Vitesse
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Utrecht Reserves
0–4
Vitesse
(4 last)
- FC Utrecht Reserves0-3Vitesse
- Vitesse2-0FC Utrecht Reserves
- FC Utrecht Reserves0-2Vitesse
- Vitesse2-1FC Utrecht Reserves
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vitesse (rating 1477 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Vitesse: 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Utrecht Reserves | Vitesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.4 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Utrecht Reserves 0–0–4 Vitesse
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Vitesse |
| 03/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Utrecht Reserves |
| 10/03/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Vitesse |
| 13/12/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Vitesse | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FC Utrecht Reserves |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | PSV Reserves | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | NAC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Eindhoven | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Almere City FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | De Graafschap | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Helmond Sport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | RKC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | VVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Top Oss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 | AZ Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Roda JC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Utrecht Reserves | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| Maastricht | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ajax Reserves | 2-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Vitesse (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Utrecht Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Werder Bremen II Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 13/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/03 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 13/03 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Vitesse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 15/07 | AEK Athens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Borussia Dortmund II Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Roda JC Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/04 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 20/03 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 16/03 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Vitesse win (41%). Probabilities: FC Utrecht Reserves 31%, draw 28%, Vitesse 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse?
The model expects 2.65 goals (FC Utrecht Reserves 1.21 · Vitesse 1.44), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Utrecht Reserves vs Vitesse?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.