Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 07/08, 20:00
Prediction: VVV vs Heracles
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
VVV1.32
Heracles1.5
1X2
VVV
Draw
Heracles
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
VVV
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Heracles
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
VVV
3–3
Heracles
(6 last)
- VVV3-1Heracles
- Heracles5-3VVV
- Heracles4-0VVV
- VVV3-2Heracles
- VVV1-0Heracles
- Heracles6-1VVV
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · VVV 1481 · Heracles 1420
| VVV | Draw | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VVV (rating 1481 vs 1420).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| VVV | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · VVV 3–0–3 Heracles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | VVV | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Heracles |
| 09/09/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Heracles | 5-3 HT 2-1 | VVV |
| 01/05/21 Netherlands Eredivisie | Heracles | 4-0 HT 2-0 | VVV |
| 07/11/20 Netherlands Eredivisie | VVV | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Heracles |
| 14/02/20 Netherlands Eredivisie | VVV | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Heracles |
| 09/11/19 Netherlands Eredivisie | Heracles | 6-1 HT 2-0 | VVV |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RKC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roda JC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Top Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
VVV
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Eupen Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | SC Fortuna Köln Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | OH Leuven II Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Borussia M'gladbach II Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/03 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
Heracles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | FC Groningen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | FC Groningen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Telstar Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | PEC Zwolle Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Ajax Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Heerenveen Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 20/03 | Excelsior Netherlands Eredivisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | AZ Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/03 | FC Utrecht Netherlands Eredivisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in VVV vs Heracles?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Heracles win (41%). Probabilities: VVV 33%, draw 26%, Heracles 41%.
How many goals are expected in VVV vs Heracles?
The model expects 2.82 goals (VVV 1.32 · Heracles 1.5), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in VVV vs Heracles?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.