Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 08/08, 16:30
Prediction: FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
FC Den Bosch1.72
Almere City FC1.85
1X2
FC Den Bosch
Draw
Almere City FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Den Bosch
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Almere City FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Den Bosch
2–1–3
Almere City FC
(6 last)
- Almere City FC3-0FC Den Bosch
- FC Den Bosch2-3Almere City FC
- Almere City FC1-2FC Den Bosch
- FC Den Bosch5-2Almere City FC
- FC Den Bosch2-2Almere City FC
- Almere City FC2-0FC Den Bosch
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Den Bosch 1487 · Almere City FC 1495
| FC Den Bosch | Draw | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 24% | 41% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Almere City FC: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Den Bosch | Almere City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Den Bosch 2–1–3 Almere City FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FC Den Bosch |
| 29/04/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs | FC Den Bosch | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Almere City FC |
| 06/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Den Bosch |
| 21/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Den Bosch | 5-2 HT 1-1 | Almere City FC |
| 12/05/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Den Bosch | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Almere City FC |
| 26/08/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Almere City FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FC Den Bosch |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almere City FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Heracles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ajax Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AZ Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PSV Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NAC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RKC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Roda JC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Top Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | VVV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Den Bosch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Al Fayha World Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Eindhoven Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 20/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
Almere City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Emmen Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/07 | Go Ahead Eagles Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/05 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 29/04 | FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Almere City FC win (41%). Probabilities: FC Den Bosch 35%, draw 24%, Almere City FC 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC?
The model expects 3.57 goals (FC Den Bosch 1.72 · Almere City FC 1.85), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Den Bosch vs Almere City FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.