Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 10/08, 20:00
Prediction: AZ Reserves vs FC Eindhoven
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.11Total
AZ Reserves1.72
FC Eindhoven1.39
1X2
AZ Reserves
Draw
FC Eindhoven
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AZ Reserves
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
FC Eindhoven
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AZ Reserves
1–2–3
FC Eindhoven
(6 last)
- FC Eindhoven3-2AZ Reserves
- AZ Reserves0-2FC Eindhoven
- FC Eindhoven2-4AZ Reserves
- AZ Reserves2-3FC Eindhoven
- FC Eindhoven1-1AZ Reserves
- AZ Reserves0-0FC Eindhoven
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AZ Reserves 1522 · FC Eindhoven 1522
| AZ Reserves | Draw | FC Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Eindhoven: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AZ Reserves | FC Eindhoven | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.4 | 3.4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AZ Reserves 1–2–3 FC Eindhoven
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Eindhoven | 3-2 HT 1-1 | AZ Reserves |
| 03/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | AZ Reserves | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FC Eindhoven |
| 02/05/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Eindhoven | 2-4 HT 1-2 | AZ Reserves |
| 04/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | AZ Reserves | 2-3 HT 0-1 | FC Eindhoven |
| 01/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | FC Eindhoven | 1-1 HT 0-0 | AZ Reserves |
| 15/09/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | AZ Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Eindhoven |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Dordrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | NAC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Emmen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Almere City FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Den Bosch | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | RKC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Vitesse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Eindhoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Volendam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Helmond Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AZ Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | PSV Reserves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | VVV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Ajax Reserves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Top Oss | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 | Roda JC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AZ Reserves | FC Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Roda JC | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Willem II | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Helmond Sport | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: AZ Reserves (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AZ Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Quick Boys Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Sparta Rotterdam Reserves Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/07 | Ajax Reserves Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 06/04 | De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/03 | Cambuur Leeuwarden Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/03 | Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | D |
FC Eindhoven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | SK Beveren Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | PSV Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Den Bosch Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/07 | Willem II Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 08/07 | NAC Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | De Treffers Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 30/06 | VV UNA Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AZ Reserves vs FC Eindhoven?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AZ Reserves win (45%). Probabilities: AZ Reserves 45%, draw 25%, FC Eindhoven 30%.
How many goals are expected in AZ Reserves vs FC Eindhoven?
The model expects 3.11 goals (AZ Reserves 1.72 · FC Eindhoven 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in AZ Reserves vs FC Eindhoven?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.