Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 18/09, 20:00
Prediction: RKC vs Maastricht
Team pages: RKC · Maastricht
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
RKC1.86
Maastricht1.04
1X2
RKC
Draw
Maastricht
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
RKC
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Maastricht
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
RKC
4–2–0
Maastricht
(6 last)
- Maastricht1-3RKC
- RKC1-0Maastricht
- Maastricht1-4RKC
- RKC3-1Maastricht
- RKC1-1Maastricht
- Maastricht0-0RKC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RKC (rating 1551 vs 1482).
- H2H favours RKC: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RKC | Maastricht | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RKC 4–2–0 Maastricht
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 1-3 HT 0-2 | RKC |
| 25/11/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 15/03/19 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 1-4 HT 0-1 | RKC |
| 07/12/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Maastricht |
| 16/03/18 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | RKC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Maastricht |
| 03/11/17 Netherlands Eerste Divisie | Maastricht | 0-0 HT 0-0 | RKC |
Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heracles | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Almere City FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Maastricht | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | VVV | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Emmen | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 12 |
| 6 | Roda JC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | PSV Reserves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
| 8 | RKC | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Vitesse | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | AZ Reserves | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 9 |
| 11 | Helmond Sport | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | NAC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | FC Eindhoven | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | Ajax Reserves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Den Bosch | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Dordrecht | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 4 |
| 18 | De Graafschap | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 19 | FC Utrecht Reserves | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 4 |
| 20 | Top Oss | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RKC | Maastricht |
|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Vitesse | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Roda JC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 0 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RKC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/08 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/05 | Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 24/04 | PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
Maastricht
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/08 | FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 17/04 | Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 10/04 | Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 06/04 | FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RKC vs Maastricht?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RKC win (56%). Probabilities: RKC 56%, draw 25%, Maastricht 20%.
How many goals are expected in RKC vs Maastricht?
The model expects 2.9 goals (RKC 1.86 · Maastricht 1.04), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in RKC vs Maastricht?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.