Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: FC Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport

Team pages: FC Den Bosch · Helmond Sport

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

FC Den Bosch1.49

Helmond Sport1.51

1X2

36% 27% 37%

FC Den Bosch Draw Helmond Sport

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Den Bosch 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Helmond Sport 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Den Bosch 2–2–2 Helmond Sport (6 last)

Helmond Sport2-0FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch1-0Helmond Sport
FC Den Bosch1-0Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport0-0FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch0-0Helmond Sport
Helmond Sport1-0FC Den Bosch

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Helmond Sport (rating 1425 vs 1483).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Den Bosch	Helmond Sport
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.1	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.89

Under 3.251.89

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.65
X	4.23 → 4.23	Pinn 4.23
2	4.35 → 4.35	Pinn 4.35

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:15 +40’	1.65	4.23	4.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Den Bosch 2–2–2 Helmond Sport

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch
21/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-0 HT 0-0	Helmond Sport
02/05/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	1-0 HT 0-0	Helmond Sport
06/12/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Den Bosch
02/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	0-0 HT 0-0	Helmond Sport
18/08/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Helmond Sport	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	6	6	0	0	24	9	18
2	Almere City FC	6	4	1	1	15	4	13
3	Maastricht	6	4	1	1	9	9	13
4	VVV	6	4	0	2	16	10	12
5	FC Emmen	6	4	0	2	16	14	12
6	Roda JC	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
7	PSV Reserves	7	3	2	2	12	12	11
8	RKC	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
9	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
10	AZ Reserves	7	3	0	4	17	15	9
11	Helmond Sport	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
12	NAC	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
13	FC Eindhoven	6	2	1	3	8	12	7
14	Ajax Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
15	FC Volendam	5	2	0	3	14	10	6
16	FC Den Bosch	5	1	1	3	10	13	4
17	FC Dordrecht	6	1	1	4	9	18	4
18	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	7	1	1	5	8	17	4
20	Top Oss	6	1	0	5	5	12	3

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Den Bosch	Helmond Sport
PSV Reserves	1-3 L	3-1 W
FC Eindhoven	5-2 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Den Bosch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
07/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	10	2	L
28/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-4	16	3	L
21/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	5-2	6	1	W
14/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
08/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
02/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
24/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
20/04	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
17/04	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-4	3	4	L

Helmond Sport

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-0	4-2	2	5	W
28/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	2-3	9	3	L
21/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
14/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
09/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/04	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
17/04	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
10/04	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
06/04	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-2	2-2	0	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Helmond Sport win (37%). Probabilities: FC Den Bosch 36%, draw 27%, Helmond Sport 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?

The model expects 3 goals (FC Den Bosch 1.49 · Helmond Sport 1.51), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.