Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 18/09, 20:00

Prediction: FC Eindhoven vs FC Emmen

Team pages: FC Eindhoven · FC Emmen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

FC Eindhoven1.66

FC Emmen1.76

1X2

36% 24% 40%

FC Eindhoven Draw FC Emmen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Eindhoven 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLDW

FC Emmen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWWWWLWL

Head-to-head

FC Eindhoven 3–1–2 FC Emmen (6 last)

FC Eindhoven1-0FC Emmen
FC Emmen6-0FC Eindhoven
FC Emmen1-2FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven0-3FC Emmen
FC Emmen1-1FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven3-2FC Emmen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Emmen (rating 1437 vs 1507).
H2H favours FC Eindhoven: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Eindhoven	FC Emmen
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	2.1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.94

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.05 → 3.05	Pinn 3.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +454’	3.05	3.75	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Eindhoven 3–1–2 FC Emmen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Emmen
11/10/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	6-0 HT 1-0	FC Eindhoven
19/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Eindhoven
18/10/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Emmen
02/02/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Emmen	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Eindhoven
08/12/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	3-2 HT 1-2	FC Emmen

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	6	6	0	0	24	9	18
2	Almere City FC	6	4	1	1	15	4	13
3	Maastricht	6	4	1	1	9	9	13
4	VVV	6	4	0	2	16	10	12
5	FC Emmen	6	4	0	2	16	14	12
6	Roda JC	6	3	2	1	7	5	11
7	PSV Reserves	7	3	2	2	12	12	11
8	RKC	6	2	4	0	12	8	10
9	Vitesse	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
10	AZ Reserves	7	3	0	4	17	15	9
11	Helmond Sport	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
12	NAC	6	2	1	3	11	14	7
13	FC Eindhoven	6	2	1	3	8	12	7
14	Ajax Reserves	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
15	FC Volendam	5	2	0	3	14	10	6
16	FC Den Bosch	5	1	1	3	10	13	4
17	FC Dordrecht	6	1	1	4	9	18	4
18	De Graafschap	6	1	1	4	7	18	4
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	7	1	1	5	8	17	4
20	Top Oss	6	1	0	5	5	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Eindhoven	FC Emmen
Maastricht	2-3 L	2-1 W
AZ Reserves	1-0 W	3-1 W
Roda JC	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Emmen (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Eindhoven

LLLWWLLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
07/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
30/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
21/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-5	1	1	L
14/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-3	6	1	L
10/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/04	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
17/04	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	11	5	L
10/04	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-3	5	3	L
06/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-4	4	2	L

FC Emmen

WLDWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	13	6	L
04/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	5-3	6	5	W
30/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-4	9	6	L
21/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
17/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-3	6-4	9	3	W
07/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
24/04	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/04	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	2-2	5	6	D
10/04	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-5	7	5	L
06/04	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Eindhoven vs FC Emmen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Emmen win (40%). Probabilities: FC Eindhoven 36%, draw 24%, FC Emmen 40%.

How many goals are expected in FC Eindhoven vs FC Emmen?

The model expects 3.42 goals (FC Eindhoven 1.66 · FC Emmen 1.76), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Eindhoven vs FC Emmen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.