Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 03/10, 20:00

Prediction: FC Den Bosch vs FC Dordrecht

Team pages: FC Den Bosch · FC Dordrecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

FC Den Bosch2.15

FC Dordrecht1.77

1X2

46% 22% 32%

FC Den Bosch Draw FC Dordrecht

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Den Bosch 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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FC Dordrecht 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Den Bosch 0–1–5 FC Dordrecht (6 last)

FC Dordrecht3-2FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch3-3FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht4-0FC Den Bosch
FC Den Bosch2-3FC Dordrecht
FC Den Bosch0-3FC Dordrecht
FC Dordrecht5-1FC Den Bosch

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Dordrecht: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Den Bosch	FC Dordrecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.3	1.4 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.9 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 7.3	1.4 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.82 → 1.82	Pinn 1.82
X	4.01 → 4.01	Pinn 4.01
2	3.56 → 3.56	Pinn 3.56

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:42 +20’	1.82	4.01	3.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Den Bosch 0–1–5 FC Dordrecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	3-2 HT 1-0	FC Den Bosch
12/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	3-3 HT 1-2	FC Dordrecht
12/04/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	4-0 HT 3-0	FC Den Bosch
01/12/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	2-3 HT 2-0	FC Dordrecht
29/03/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Den Bosch	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Dordrecht
27/10/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Dordrecht	5-1 HT 3-1	FC Den Bosch

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	8	7	0	1	26	10	21
2	Almere City FC	8	5	1	2	18	7	16
3	Maastricht	8	5	1	2	12	15	16
4	VVV	8	5	0	3	21	14	15
5	Roda JC	8	4	3	1	9	5	15
6	FC Emmen	8	5	0	3	18	17	15
7	RKC	8	3	4	1	18	11	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
9	NAC	8	4	1	3	17	17	13
10	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
11	FC Volendam	8	4	0	4	20	16	12
12	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
13	FC Eindhoven	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
14	Helmond Sport	8	2	2	4	13	14	8
15	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
16	FC Den Bosch	7	2	1	4	12	16	7
17	FC Dordrecht	8	2	1	5	12	23	7
18	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
19	Top Oss	8	2	0	6	8	13	6
20	De Graafschap	7	1	1	5	8	20	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Den Bosch	FC Dordrecht
FC Volendam	0-2 L	1-6 L
FC Eindhoven	5-2 W	1-2 L
Almere City FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Den Bosch (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Den Bosch

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	5	4	W
13/09	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	8	5	L
07/09	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-3	10	2	L
28/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-3	1-4	16	3	L
21/08	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-1	5-2	6	1	W
14/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-3	6	1	L
08/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
02/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-3	7	1	L
24/04	ADO Den Haag Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	3	0	L
20/04	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-1	5	5	D

FC Dordrecht

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-2	4	2	W
18/09	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	6	6	L
11/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-3	3-6	2	5	L
28/08	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	1-6	3	4	L
21/08	Roda JC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	0-1	7	5	L
14/08	RKC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
07/08	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	2-1	2-1	8	7	W
24/04	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/04	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-4	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Den Bosch vs FC Dordrecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Den Bosch win (46%). Probabilities: FC Den Bosch 46%, draw 22%, FC Dordrecht 32%.

How many goals are expected in FC Den Bosch vs FC Dordrecht?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FC Den Bosch 2.15 · FC Dordrecht 1.77), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Den Bosch vs FC Dordrecht?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.