Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven

Team pages: Almere City FC · FC Eindhoven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

Almere City FC2.09

FC Eindhoven1.27

1X2

55% 23% 22%

Almere City FC Draw FC Eindhoven

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Almere City FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Eindhoven 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Almere City FC 3–1–2 FC Eindhoven (6 last)

FC Eindhoven3-2Almere City FC
Almere City FC5-0FC Eindhoven
Almere City FC2-1FC Eindhoven
FC Eindhoven1-0Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven0-1Almere City FC
Almere City FC1-1FC Eindhoven

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almere City FC (rating 1547 vs 1479).
H2H favours Almere City FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Almere City FC	FC Eindhoven
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/90/0%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.9	1.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.94

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:54

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Pinn 1.42
X	5.12 → 5.12	Pinn 5.12
2	5.64 → 5.64	Pinn 5.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +37’	1.42	5.12	5.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Almere City FC 3–1–2 FC Eindhoven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	3-2 HT 1-0	Almere City FC
15/09/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	5-0 HT 3-0	FC Eindhoven
26/05/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	Almere City FC	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Eindhoven
22/05/23 Netherlands Eredivisie Play-Offs	FC Eindhoven	1-0 HT 0-0	Almere City FC
10/02/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Eindhoven	0-1 HT 0-1	Almere City FC
12/09/22 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	Almere City FC	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Eindhoven

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	22
2	Almere City FC	8	5	1	2	18	7	16
3	Maastricht	8	5	1	2	12	15	16
4	VVV	8	5	0	3	21	14	15
5	Roda JC	8	4	3	1	9	5	15
6	FC Emmen	8	5	0	3	18	17	15
7	RKC	8	3	4	1	18	11	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
9	NAC	8	4	1	3	17	17	13
10	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
11	FC Volendam	8	4	0	4	20	16	12
12	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
13	FC Eindhoven	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	9
15	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
16	FC Den Bosch	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
17	FC Dordrecht	8	2	1	5	12	23	7
18	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	9	20	7
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
20	Top Oss	8	2	0	6	8	13	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Almere City FC	FC Eindhoven
FC Dordrecht	2-3 L	2-1 W
Heracles	1-0 W	1-3 L
Maastricht	4-0 W	2-3 L
FC Den Bosch	1-1 D	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Almere City FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Almere City FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	FC Volendam Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-3	4	2	L
18/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
11/09	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	4-0	4	2	W
04/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
29/08	De Graafschap Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	4-1	5	2	W
21/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
14/08	PSV Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	3-1	3	2	W
08/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
16/05	Willem II Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-2	6	3	L

FC Eindhoven

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-4	2	3	L
18/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	FC Dordrecht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
07/09	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
30/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-3	6	2	L
21/08	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-3	2-5	1	1	L
14/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-3	6	1	L
10/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
24/04	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
17/04	FC Utrecht Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-3	11	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Almere City FC win (55%). Probabilities: Almere City FC 55%, draw 23%, FC Eindhoven 22%.

How many goals are expected in Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven?

The model expects 3.37 goals (Almere City FC 2.09 · FC Eindhoven 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.