Football · Netherlands Eerste Divisie · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: De Graafschap vs FC Utrecht Reserves

Team pages: De Graafschap · FC Utrecht Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

De Graafschap2.09

FC Utrecht Reserves1.75

1X2

45% 22% 32%

De Graafschap Draw FC Utrecht Reserves

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

De Graafschap 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLWLW

FC Utrecht Reserves 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

De Graafschap 2–3–1 FC Utrecht Reserves (6 last)

De Graafschap1-0FC Utrecht Reserves
FC Utrecht Reserves2-3De Graafschap
FC Utrecht Reserves1-1De Graafschap
De Graafschap2-2FC Utrecht Reserves
De Graafschap2-2FC Utrecht Reserves
FC Utrecht Reserves2-0De Graafschap

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours De Graafschap: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	De Graafschap	FC Utrecht Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.5	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.94

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.62 → 1.62	Pinn 1.62
X	4.53 → 4.53	Pinn 4.53
2	4.28 → 4.28	Pinn 4.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:16 +37’	1.62	4.53	4.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · De Graafschap 2–3–1 FC Utrecht Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Utrecht Reserves
08/12/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	2-3 HT 1-2	De Graafschap
20/01/25 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	1-1 HT 1-0	De Graafschap
23/08/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	2-2 HT 1-0	FC Utrecht Reserves
03/05/24 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	De Graafschap	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Utrecht Reserves
24/11/23 Netherlands Eerste Divisie	FC Utrecht Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	De Graafschap

Standings · Netherlands Eerste Divisie

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Heracles	9	7	1	1	28	12	22
2	Almere City FC	8	5	1	2	18	7	16
3	Maastricht	8	5	1	2	12	15	16
4	VVV	8	5	0	3	21	14	15
5	Roda JC	8	4	3	1	9	5	15
6	FC Emmen	8	5	0	3	18	17	15
7	RKC	8	3	4	1	18	11	13
8	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	13	11	13
9	NAC	8	4	1	3	17	17	13
10	AZ Reserves	9	4	1	4	22	17	13
11	FC Volendam	8	4	0	4	20	16	12
12	PSV Reserves	9	3	3	3	14	16	12
13	FC Eindhoven	8	3	1	4	13	17	10
14	Helmond Sport	9	2	3	4	15	16	9
15	Ajax Reserves	9	2	2	5	13	22	8
16	FC Den Bosch	8	2	1	5	12	17	7
17	FC Dordrecht	8	2	1	5	12	23	7
18	De Graafschap	8	2	1	5	9	20	7
19	FC Utrecht Reserves	9	2	1	6	15	21	7
20	Top Oss	8	2	0	6	8	13	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	De Graafschap	FC Utrecht Reserves
NAC	1-2 L	3-2 W
Heracles	0-5 L	1-6 L
VVV	1-2 L	1-3 L
AZ Reserves	2-5 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Utrecht Reserves (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

De Graafschap

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FC Den Bosch Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	2	4	L
11/09	FC Emmen Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
04/09	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-2	0-5	1	4	L
29/08	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-4	9	2	L
23/08	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
17/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	2-5	5	7	L
09/08	Helmond Sport Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-1	3	4	D
09/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
06/05	Almere City FC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	0	L

FC Utrecht Reserves

WLLLLLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	VVV Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
14/09	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	3-0	6-1	5	7	W
11/09	NAC Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-2	3-2	1	5	W
07/09	FC Eindhoven Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
31/08	AZ Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/08	Top Oss Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
24/08	Heracles Netherlands Eerste Divisie	0-5	1-6	2	1	L
17/08	Vitesse Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
09/08	Maastricht Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
24/04	Ajax Reserves Netherlands Eerste Divisie	1-0	2-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in De Graafschap vs FC Utrecht Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a De Graafschap win (45%). Probabilities: De Graafschap 45%, draw 22%, FC Utrecht Reserves 32%.

How many goals are expected in De Graafschap vs FC Utrecht Reserves?

The model expects 3.84 goals (De Graafschap 2.09 · FC Utrecht Reserves 1.75), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in De Graafschap vs FC Utrecht Reserves?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.